|

Trading the UK Services PMI with GBP/USD

  • The forward-looking indicator for the UK's largest sector, services, is closely watched and moves the pound.
  • The Market Impact Tool shows trading opportunities in both downside and upside surprises on this event.
  • The GBPUSD moved, on average, 8 pips in the 15 minutes after the data release and 29 pips in the following 4 hours.

Buying GBP/USD Scenario

  • Tradable Positive Trigger: +1.0343 deviation (56.0898) [BUY Pair]
  • Key Resistance Level:  1.3170 

This time, if it comes out at higher than expected with a relative deviation of 1.0355 or higher (54.2777 or higher in actual terms), the pair may go up reaching a range of 26  pips in the first 15 minutes and 76 pips in the following 4 hours.

This time, if it comes out at higher than expected with a relative deviation of 1.0343 or higher(56.0898 or higher in actual terms), the pair may go up reaching a range of 26  pips in the first 15 minutes and 76 pips in the following 4 hours.

Selling GBP/USD Scenario

  • Tradable Negative Trigger: -0.747 deviation (53.6961) [SELL Pair]
  • Fundamental Support Level: 1.3015

If it comes out lower than expected at a relative deviation of -0.747 or less(53.6961 or lower in actual terms), the GBPUSD may go down reaching a range of 34 pips in the first 15 minutes and 80 pips in the following 4 hours.

1.3015 was the low point after the BOE decision on August 2nd. 1.2960 is the lowest level in 2018, seen in mid-July. Further down, 1.2850 is notable. 

GBP/USD Levels on the Chart

GBP USD technical analysis August 3 2018

More data

The UK, like many other developed economies, relies quite heavily on the services sector. In Britain's case, a lot depends on the financial sector. Confidence ahead of Brexit, which remains a source of uncertainty, may significantly impact the Pound. 

Follow the publication of the figure on the economic calendar. Watch out for the data from the Market Impact tool, projecting the potential price changes according to the deviation. Here is the Market Impact Studies Users Guide.

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays near 1.1650 with fading momentum

EUR/USD holds ground after five days of losses, trading around 1.1650 during the Asian hours on Friday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index momentum indicator at 39 trends lower, confirming fading momentum rather than oversold conditions.

GBP/USD remains below 1.3450, nine-day EMA

GBP/USD remains subdued for the fourth consecutive day, trading around 1.3430 during the Asian hours on Friday. The momentum indicator 14-day Relative Strength Index at 51.9 is neutral, reflecting slower momentum after firm recent readings. An RSI drop back beneath 50 would strengthen the case for a deeper pullback.

Gold edges lower as USD preserves its recent gains ahead of US NFP report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish rebound from the vicinity of the $4,400 mark and attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar preserves its gains registered over the past two weeks and touches a nearly one-month high, undermining the commodity. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple find key support, reviving rally hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple steadied above key support levels on Friday after being rejected at mid-week resistance zones. The short-term recovery prospects remain intact if the top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization hold these support zones.

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

Pepe Price Forecast: PEPE risks 100-day EMA fallout as bullish interest fades

Pepe is under extreme selling pressure, trading in the red for the fifth consecutive day, down 1% at press time on Friday. Pepe’s decline following a 72% hike last week suggests a likely profit-booking phase, while on-chain data indicates declining network activity.