|

SPX Elliott Wave Analysis: Calling Correction Lower

SPX short-term Elliott wave analysis suggests that the rally from 4/02/2018 low to $2792.25 ended the intermediate wave (1). Down from there, correction against that cycle remains in progress in 3, 7 or 11 swing structure. Also, it’s important to note here that the decline from $2792.25 peak shows an overlapping price action thus suggesting that the correction is taking place in a corrective manner i.e either Double three or Triple three structure.

Down from $2792.25, Minor wave W unfolded as a double three structure with a combination of 3,3,3 swings in each leg. Minute wave ((w)) of W ended at $2743.10, Minute wave ((x)) of W ended at $2774.86 and Minute wave ((y)) of W ended at $2698.67 low. Up from there, Minor wave X bounce remains in progress to correct cycle from 6/13 high ($2792.25) as a Zigzag structure where Minute wave ((a)) ended at $2746.09 and Minute wave ((b)) remains in progress as a running triangle structure. Near-term focus remains towards $2745.32-$2756.36, which is the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement area of the cycle coming from $2792.25 high to complete Minute wave ((c)) of X. Afterwards, the index is expected to continue lower in Minor wave Y to correct cycle from 4/02/2018 low. We don’t like selling the proposed pullback.

SPX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart

spx
spx

Become a Successful Trader and Master Elliott Wave like a Pro. Start your Free 14 Day Trial at - Elliott Wave Forecast.

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

More from Elliott Wave Forecast Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200 after hot Chinese CPI data

AUD/USD is extending its consolidative price action above 0.7200 during the Asian session on Wednesday, uninspired by hot Chinese CPI and PPI data. Meanwhile, rising RBA rate-hike bets act as a tailwind for the Aussie amid Yen-inspired US Dollar weakness. Traders await the release of US inflation figures later in the week for fresh impetus.

USD/JPY stays weak near 153.50 amid aggressive BoJ hike bets



USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers in the Asian session on Wednesday as the strong Reuters Tankan business survey adds to the case for continued BoJ policy normalisation and boosts the Japanese Yen. This, along with a broadly weaker US Dollar, keeps the pair close to a nearly seven-month low set on Tuesday.

Gold weakens below $4,350, hitting a one-week low on hawkish Fed bets

Gold trades with a negative bias for the fourth straight day and drops to a one-week low, below $4,350 during the Asian session on Wednesday. Expectations of a Fed rate hike this month weigh on the non-yielding bullion. The US Dollar, however, struggles to lure buyers amid a rallying Yen and could support the commodity as traders await the key US inflation data for a fresh impetus.

Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to macro signals amid changing derivatives narrative
Bitcoin’s (BTC) sensitivity to US economic data has become increasingly evident this year. As the market approaches several important data dumps this week, BTC traders are keenly aware of the significance just like their counterparts in TradFi. And just like the stock market, crypto traders are focused squarely on the US central bank's interest rate policy.
Gold and stocks: What eight midterm elections did
I went back through every midterm election since 1994 and asked one question of each: when did the stock market make its low for the year, before the vote or after it? In seven of the eight cycles, the low came before the election. In six of the eight, it came between mid-June and mid-October, which is to say in the exact window that the "they won't let it fall" argument says is protected.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.