S&P 500 didn‘t keep Friday‘s upside momentum, and slid below both 4,589 and 4,565 – with only low 4,550s stemming the decline with just one late in the day rebound attempt. Intraday clients though still benefited thanks to Ellin‘s fine ES short move, and plenty of other good brief calls we made on Telegram. While I was warning about a pullback – and still expect a shallow and temporary one as rate cutting bets come again to the fore – one facilitated by rotations out of prior leaders (XLK and XLC), that‘s still a sign of healthy bull to me. Market breadth keeps improving, and even Russell 2000 came back to life.
Here are some of the individual stock clues to look at.- As always, way more analytics follows in the premium commentary – just a little preview of how I summed up yesterday for clients (and would bring that up in today‘s premium daily analysis, but I‘m releasing it at the start of this data heavy week to help you all out – just as yesterday‘s extensive analysis and gold market warnings did):
Let‘s move right into the charts – today‘s full scale article contains 3 of them, featuring S&P 500, precious metals and oil.
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Gold, Silver and Miners
Precious metals haven‘t made a top, but it‘ll take time to recover, even weeks as those fast Fed easing bets get tempered – in momentum, not in direction. Yields still haven‘t reached their bottom, and there is more to go – below 4.10% on the 10y easily before the direction turns sideways. The reasons for which yields are declining, hasn‘t gone away even if sticky inflation would get recognized only next year, national debt crisis is far away, loose fiscal policy overpowers Fed, US remains more vibrant than eurozone, and the 2024 elections prospects loom. Precious metals bull isn‘t over – the upleg has only been severely dialed back unless rate cutting odds keep being reaffirmed with incoming data and USD turns back to 102.30 as a minimum.
All essays, research and information represent analyses and opinions of Monica Kingsley that are based on available and latest data. Despite careful research and best efforts, it may prove wrong and be subject to change with or without notice. Monica Kingsley does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. Her content serves educational purposes and should not be relied upon as advice or construed as providing recommendations of any kind. Futures, stocks and options are financial instruments not suitable for every investor. Please be advised that you invest at your own risk. Monica Kingsley is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading her writings, you agree that she will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make. Investing, trading and speculating in financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Monica Kingsley may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in her writings, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.