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Silver’s secret rising channel (daily) — $100 and $85 in sight

Silver is currently consolidating within a rising channel that isn’t obvious on a standard linear chart.

The pattern only becomes clear on a logarithmic daily chart, and it’s no wonder, given how aggressively Silver has expanded over recent months.

And we know this channel is a valid one because the midline and lower boundaries have provided ample price reactions since November 2025 – just look at the highlighted red circles.

Chart

To construct the channel

  • Connect the highs from 13 November 2025 and 29 December 2025.
  • Connect the lows from 21 November 2025 and 31 December 2025.

Last Wednesday, Silver broke above the channel midline and has since found support there, with price now consolidating above it. That said, the last two daily candles closed bearish, showing short-term hesitation rather than outright weakness.

US ‘Board of Peace’

Silver opened higher on Monday following Donald Trump’s announcement of a so-called “Board of Peace.” Markets interpreted this less as stability and more as a signal of rising geopolitical tension.

Historically, initiatives framed around peace or emergency coordination tend to surface during periods of underlying unrest, which is why precious metals often attract demand in response.

Despite the recent bearish daily closes, price has continued to hold above the channel midline. This suggests that headline-driven uncertainty is reinforcing support rather than undermining the broader uptrend.

Technical analysis for Silver one-day/four-hour

chart

As long as Silver remains above the channel midline and the 4H 50-EMA band, the trend structure stays intact. The current price action reflects consolidation within an uptrend that’s still being held onto.

However, upside overhead exists at $100, where the top of the channel aligns. $100 is also a significant psychological level that’s bound to attract attention.

On the flipside, downside targets are concentrating at $84 to $85 – as shown by the 4H silver chart – as displayed in the right pane of chart above. The volume profile shows a significant volume spike at $85 (aligned with the 50-EMA), while a previous high aligns at $84 and with the rising channel’s low.

Bottom line: The board of peace signals short-term noise, long-term bid. As long as Silver continues to consolidate above the midline, geopolitical anxiety remains a tailwind rather than a threat to trend.

Author

Zorrays Junaid

Zorrays Junaid

Alchemy Markets

Zorrays Junaid has extensive combined experience in the financial markets as a portfolio manager and trading coach. More recently, he is an Analyst with Alchemy Markets, and has contributed to DailyFX and Elliott Wave Forecast in the past.

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