|

RBA and BoE to guide markets, Dollar strength to continue

Important News for the day

Tue, 04th, 04:30 CET AU Interest rate decision.
Wed, 05th,14:15 CET US ADP Nonfarm employment change.
Wed, 05th 16:00 CET US ISM services pmi.
Thu, 06th, 13:00 CET UK BoE interest rate decision.

Risk sentiment

Profit taking might still cause stock markets to weaken. While the Nasdaq and S&P 500 remain sideways also XAU and Silver markets only resume slight upside momentum amid a stronger Dollar. The Silver market had printed a positive pinbar candlestick pattern and might move higher in the short term. Yet, the bearish looking candlestick charts potentially continue to cause profit taking in markets. The risk sentiment might also be set by the further movement of the AUDUSD currency pair.

Market talk

Another Central Bank week will likely move markets. The RBA might cause the AUD to move. After some recent strength in the Aussi, some weakness might now start to set in. With the technical pattern downside momentum might occur. Furthermore also the GBP looks set to push lower. A potential surprise rate- cut might also cause the Pound to weaken against the Dollar. No data should be expected this week as the shutdown in the US continues. 

Tendencies in the markets

Equities sideways, USD stronger, crypto weaker, oil sideways, Silver sideways, Gold positive

Author

Frank Walbaum

Frank Walbaum

FX Strategies.Asia

Frank has been working in the TV business for several years. Acquiring his skills in Germany’s biggest broadcasting station, he then chose to work and live in Asia, which was in 2007.

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds firm above 1.1900 as US NFP looms

EUR/USD holds its upbeat momentum above 1.1900 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, helped by a broadly weaker US Dollar. Markets could turn cautious later in the day as the delayed US employment report for January will takes center stage. 

GBP/USD recovers losses despite rising UK political risks, BoE rate cut bets

Pound Sterling advances against the US Dollar after registering modest losses in the previous session, trading around 1.3650 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair could extend losses as the Pound Sterling faces pressure from rising political risks in the UK and growing expectations of near-term Bank of England rate cuts.

Gold sticks to gains near $5,050 as focus shifts to US NFP

Gold holds moderate gains near the $5,050 level in the European session on Wednesday, reversing a part of the previous day's modest losses amid dovish US Federal Reserve-inspired US Dollar weakness. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal ahead of the critical US NFP release. 

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to show modest job gains in January

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls data for January on Wednesday at 13:30 GMT. Investors expect NFP to rise by 70K following the 50K increase recorded in December.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

BNB prolonged correction signals deeper bearish momentum
BNB (BNB), formerly known as Binance Coin, is trading below $618 on Wednesday, marking the sixth consecutive day of correction since the weekend. The bearish price action is further supported by rising short bets alongside negative funding rates in the derivatives market.