Oil price outlook: Micro WTI Crude Oil futures navigating between arc levels

Mohamad Gharib Independent Analyst

Micro WTI Crude Oil futures (MCL1): Arc cycle analysis

Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 30m chart, Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures is trading between the 0.786 Arc and 1(100%) Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Price has cleared the 0.786 Arc and is progressing toward the1(100%) Arc, suggesting continued movement toward the next Arc boundary.

Metric	Reading
Market Bias	Bullish
Preferred Scenario	Potential Continuation / Cycle-to-Cycle Expansion
Primary Target Zone	$91
Scenario Invalidation	Sustained close back below $84
Current Arc Level	In Transit Between Arcs (0.786 Arc to 1(100%) Arc)
Cycle Status	Mid-Cycle Migration Phase
Arc Integrity	Neutral

Market outlook

Price is trading between the 0.786 Arc and the 1(100%) Arc, indicating that the market is progressing through the current Arc Cycle toward the next Arc boundary. If momentum continues, the preferred scenario is continued movement toward the Target price at $91.

Conversely, a sustained 30m close back below $84 would invalidate the continuation scenario and could shift the outlook toward the Previous Arc Cycle.

Author

Mohamad Gharib

Independent Analyst

Mohamad Gharib is a Financial Markets Analyst and Quantitative Researcher with more than 18 years of experience in financial markets, including 15 years as an FX Quant Trader.

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