What you need to know before markets open
In Europe
- Turkey-led market turmoil and the risk-off mood saw the European majors fall lower against the US Dollar on Monday with crisis spillover easing on Tuesday.
- Turkey’s Lira fell another to a fresh all-time low of 7.11 against the US Dollar weighing on market sentiment as the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate hiking cycle is taking the toll on emerging markets losing big time once the interest rates become investment vehicle in the developed economies like the US as well.
- German GDP rose 0.5% Q/Q in the second quarter while decelerating to 2.3% y/y.
- The German ZEW investors confidence is expected to improve to -20.0 in August, up from -24.7 in July. Last time ZEW index was so low Draghi was saving the Euro with his famous “whatever it takes”.
- The Eurozone Q2 GDP is expected to rise 0.3% Q/Q while increasing 2.1% y/y.
- The Eurozone industrial production is expected to fall -0.4% m/m while increasing 2.5% y/y.
In the UK
- The UK Sterling was under selling pressure falling to a fresh 13-month low of 1.2730 but managed to recover to 1.2470.
- The UK labor market report is due expected to confirm the previous strength with wages rising 2.7% y/y in June while the unemployment rate is set to remain stuck to a 4-decade low of 4.2% in July. For details read my Preview here and learn how to trade the report with GBP/USD in Yohay’s primer here.
In the US
- The small business optimism index is due with little-to-no market effect expected.
In China
- Fixed-asset investment, industrial production and retail sales in China were lower than expected in July, while property investment ticked up according to official China’s statistics.
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