|

Gold: the corrective medium term outlook weighs [Video]

Gold

We see near term rallies on gold struggling to sustain traction as the corrective medium term outlook weighs. Subsequently, in the past week, the failure to break through the resistance band $1474/$1480 seems to now be weighing on gold. The technical rally has rolled over and in posting three negative candles in a row, the sellers are gaining control again. A mild unwind on indicators such as RSI and Stochastics seems to be a chance to sell. The RSI faltering below 40 along with the failure for the MACD lines to make any sustainable recovery, leaves the sellers on the brink of decisive control again. As the market has formed lower highs and lower lows in recent days, intraday rallies are already struggling, with Friday’s high of $1472 another barrier to gains now. A move below initial support at $1456 opens $1445 again, whilst the medium term retreat towards $1400 is still possible in due course.

XAUUSD

Author

Richard Perry

Richard Perry

Independent Analyst

Richard Perry, Independent Market Analyst, has over 20 years of experience working in financial markets in London.

More from Richard Perry
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains depressed 0.7000, awaits FOMC Minutes

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on its recent recovery move and trades with a negative bias below 0.7000 in Wednesday's Asian session. Amid geopolitical uncertainty, the US Dollar attracts some dip-buyers after a fresh leg up in US bond yields, keeping the pair under pressure despite hawkish RBA expectations. All eyes now remain on the FOMC Minutes.

USD/JPY holds firm near 158.50 ahead of Fed Minutes

USD/JPY hangs close to a one-and-a-half-week high near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond the 200-day SMA hurdle before positioning for further gains ahead of the FOMC Minutes. Meanwhile, a fresh leg up in US bond yields revives US Dollar demand amid geopolitical uncertainties, boosting the pair amid dovish BoJ commentary.

Gold struggles below $4,150 as USD bulls look to FOMC Minutes for rate hike cues

Gold retains its intraday bearish bias through the early European session, eyeing a two-month low around the $4,100 neighborhood touched the previous day. The US Dollar catches fresh bids after Tuesday's corrective slide and is seen as a key factor weighing on the commodity as traders look to the FOMC meeting minutes for a fresh impetus.

Dogecoin extended correction and weakening momentum raise downside risks

Dogecoin extends its losses, trading around $0.090 down more than 5% so far this week. Bearish pressure is strengthening, with short positions reaching a one-month high and traders in overheated conditions. Meanwhile, weakening momentum indicators are also hinting at further losses in DOGE. Derivatives data shows cautious signals among traders.

Indian Rupee hits fresh four-month low, RBI hikes Repo Rate to 5.5%

The Indian Rupee weakens significantly against the US Dollar after a muted response, following the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy meeting on Wednesday. The USD/INR pair jumps to near 96.72, the highest level seen in four months. In the policy meeting, the RBI decide to hike its Repo Rate by 25 basis points to 5.5%, the first hike since February 2023.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.