Gold resumes decline, Elliott Wave bearish sequence targets $3400 [Video]

Elliott Wave Forecast Team ElliottWave-Forecast.com

Spot Gold continues to exhibit an incomplete bearish sequence from the January 29 peak, with potential downside extending toward the $3400 area. The decline from the April 17 peak is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Within this formation, wave ((W)) concluded at $4023.1, while wave ((X)) terminated at $4382.45. The market has since entered wave ((Y)), which is progressing as a zigzag. In this subdivision, wave (A) ended at $3942.43, and wave (B) completed at $4203.26, as illustrated in the one‑hour chart.

The yellow metal has now turned lower in wave (C), which is expected to subdivide into five waves. From below wave (B), the initial decline in wave 1 ended at $4021.52. A corrective rally in wave 2 is currently in progress, retracing the cycle from the July 6, 2026 peak before the broader decline resumes. The structure suggests that the corrective phase will remain limited as long as the pivot at $4203.26 holds. Under this condition, rallies are anticipated to fail in either three or seven swings, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

The broader implication is that the incomplete sequence from January continues to favor additional weakness. The technical framework highlights the potential for sustained downside pressure, with the $3400 region serving as a key target if the bearish cycle extends without truncation.

Gold 60-minute Elliott Wave chart

Gold Elliott Wave [Video]

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

GBP/USD holds near Feb. 11 highs as bulls await breakout above 1.3660

The GBP/USD pair trades with a positive bias around mid-1.3600s at the start of a new week and remains well within striking distance of its highest level since February 11, touched on Friday. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop favors bullish traders and backs the case for an extension of a nearly one-month-old uptrend.

EUR/USD holds steady amid US debt strategy

EUR/USD remains stronger for the fourth successive trading day, hovering around 1.1680 during the Asian hours. The currency pair holds its ground as the US Dollar struggles under pressure from newly announced United States fiscal moves. The Treasury Department surprised financial markets by pledging to at least double its buybacks of longer-dated government debt in an attempt to rein in rising bond yields.

Gold keeps rallying toward $4,700, fresh three-month highs

Gold extends its last week's stellar performance into Asian trading on Monday, refreshing three-month highs beyond $4,600. The precious metal capitalizes on persistent US Dollar weakness, following the US Treasury's buyback plan amid fresh US-Canada trade tensions.

Bitcoin holds above $77,000 – PENGU and AAVE eye further gains

The broader cryptocurrency market is gaining momentum with Bitcoin above $77,000 holding its 23% gains from last week. Renewed institutional demand, with $1.92 billion in inflows last week, the largest so far in 2026, backs the risk-on sentiment. Pudgy Penguins and Aave have emerged as top performers over the last 24 hours.

US Dollar Weekly Forecast: Enter Jackson, mind the (budget) Hole

It was not geopolitics, the US-Japan joint FX intervention to support the beleaguered Japanese currency or the omnipresent bets on what the Federal Reserve (Fed) might do in the second half of the year that kept the US Dollar (USD) well on the back foot over the past five days.

$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.