|

Gold futures extend December breakout as intraday structure confirms January trend

Weekly macro transition aligns with a three-month COMEX structure as Gold tests key levels

This video provides a structure-led update on Gold futures, following the December 2025 breakout that marked a transition in the long-term macro cycle.

The update begins with a review of the twelve-year Gold cycle from 2013 to 2025 on the weekly chart, where price moved through balance, expansion, rotation, and stress-test phases before breaking into a new structural range between 4,350 and 5,000 in December.

It then revisits the January 3 follow-up, when Gold pulled back to the lower boundary of that new range near 4,350, held the level multiple times, and broke out of a three-week consolidation to set new highs.

The focus then shifts to the 2-hour COMEX futures chart, where a three-month intraday structure of higher highs and higher lows has been guiding price action. This intraday behaviour reflects the same accumulation and acceptance visible in the weekly macro structure.

Finally, the video highlights the current decision zone near 4,605, where the latest rotation from 4,350 has reached a critical intraday reference level. How price behaves at this level will provide further insight into how the new long-term range is being negotiated.

This update documents how structure provides context and how price reveals acceptance or rejection within that structure.

Youtube preview

Author

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Independent Analyst

Denis Joeli Fatiaki possesses over a decade of extensive experience as a multi-asset trader and Market Strategist.

More from Denis Joeli Fatiaki
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.