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Gold futures extend December breakout as intraday structure confirms January trend

Weekly macro transition aligns with a three-month COMEX structure as Gold tests key levels

This video provides a structure-led update on Gold futures, following the December 2025 breakout that marked a transition in the long-term macro cycle.

The update begins with a review of the twelve-year Gold cycle from 2013 to 2025 on the weekly chart, where price moved through balance, expansion, rotation, and stress-test phases before breaking into a new structural range between 4,350 and 5,000 in December.

It then revisits the January 3 follow-up, when Gold pulled back to the lower boundary of that new range near 4,350, held the level multiple times, and broke out of a three-week consolidation to set new highs.

The focus then shifts to the 2-hour COMEX futures chart, where a three-month intraday structure of higher highs and higher lows has been guiding price action. This intraday behaviour reflects the same accumulation and acceptance visible in the weekly macro structure.

Finally, the video highlights the current decision zone near 4,605, where the latest rotation from 4,350 has reached a critical intraday reference level. How price behaves at this level will provide further insight into how the new long-term range is being negotiated.

This update documents how structure provides context and how price reveals acceptance or rejection within that structure.

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Author

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Independent Analyst

Denis Joeli Fatiaki possesses over a decade of extensive experience as a multi-asset trader and Market Strategist.

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