|

Geopolitical stress escalation and impact on commodities [Video]

Time cycles for various currencies and the dollar index are all coming together. We are also seeing a major geopolitical stress window that will undoubtedly impact oil.

The next week sees the 36 year anniversary of the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait. If long-term history cycles are to repeat then we are almost certainly going to see an escalation in the war in the Middle East.

In this four minute video we cover some of the key factors and highlight the precise dates which are coming up very shortly.

Youtube preview

Author

Andrew Pancholi

Andrew Pancholi

Market Timing Report

Andrew Pancholi is a world-renowned trading expert specializing in market timing.

More from Andrew Pancholi
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains below 1.3400 as USD recovers

GBP/USD stalls its rebound and stays below 1.3400 in the European trading hours on Thursday. The pair's upside remains capped by a modest US Dollar bounce and cooler-than-expected UK inflation data amid escalating Middle East tensions.

EUR/USD stays firm above 1.1400 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD holds its upbeat momentum for the second consecutive day, above 1.1400, in the European session on Thursday. The pair stays supported ahead of the European Central Bank's interest rate decision, with any hints on further rate hikes to be closely eyed.

Gold holds losses near $4,100 on surging Oil-led inflation fears

Gold holds the pullback near the $4,100 round figure in Thursday's European session. US crude oil prices climb to a fresh six-week high toward $90 amid a further escalation of tensions between the US and Iran, fueling inflation fears and bolstering US Fed interest rate hike expectations. Hawkish Fed bets weigh negatively on the yieldless bullion.

Hyperliquid, Robinhood could lead crypto’s next bull market as DeFi and TradFi converge

The next crypto bull market could be driven by the growing convergence between blockchain-based financial infrastructure and traditional finance, according to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan. In a report published late Tuesday, Hougan argued that crypto may be showing early signs of a market bottom, with Bitcoin gaining 9% since July 1 even as the NASDAQ 100 declined 6%.

Ripple and Stellar await direction amid cautious sentiment

Ripple and Stellar trade cautiously as both tokens hover around key technical levels. XRP is testing resistance at its 50-day EMA, while XLM continues to consolidate around the $0.187 support zone. Meanwhile, mixed derivatives data with a slight bearish tilt suggests traders remain cautious, keeping the next directional move uncertain.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.