GBP/USD outlook: Near term action weighed by rejection under weekly cloud

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

GBP/USD

Bears are taking a breather in European trading on Monday after strong acceleration on Thu/Fri which resulted in a weekly loss of 1.7% (the biggest weekly fall since the third week of September).

Formation of Doji reversal pattern on a weekly chart, following a multiple rejection under the base of falling weekly cloud weighs on near-term action, adding to pressure from stronger dollar on upbeat US jobs data.

Weakening daily studies on rising negative momentum and MA’s (10/20/55) turning to bearish setup, contribute to signals of possible further weakness, but oversold conditions suggest that bears may pause for consolidation, before attacking supports at 1.20 (psychological) and 1.1951 (200DMA), with extension below 1.1841 (Jan 6 trough) to confirm a double-top (1.2447) and signal reversal.

The action should be ideally capped by the top of daily cloud (1.2140) reinforced by daily Kijun-sen, to keep fresh bears intact, with potential extended upticks to stall under daily Tenkan-sen (1.2230) to maintain bearish bias.

Res: 1.2070; 1.2100; 1.2140; 1.2189.
Sup: 1.2030; 1.2000; 1.1951; 1.1900.

Interested in GBP/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

1. R3 1.2409
2. R2 1.2337
3. R1 1.2194
PP 1.2122
1. S1 1.1979
2. S2 1.1907
3. S3 1.1763

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

EUR/USD makes a U-turn, focus on 1.1900

EUR/USD’s recovery picks up further pace, prompting the pair to retarget the key 1.1900 barrier amid further loss of momentum in the US Dollar on Wednesday. Moving forward, investors are expected to remain focused on upcoming labour market figures and the always relevant US CPI prints on Thursday and Friday, respectively.

GBP/USD sticks to the bullish tone near 1.3660

GBP/USD maintains its solid performance on Wednesday, hovering around the 1.3660 zone as the Greenback surrenders its post-NFP bounce. Cable, in the meantime, should now shift its attention to key UK data due on Thursday, including preliminary GDP gauges.

Gold holds on to higher ground ahead of the next catalyst

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place on Wednesday, retargeting the $5,100 zone per troy ounce on the back of modest losses in the US Dollar and despite firm US Treasury yields across the curve. Moving forward, the yellow metal’s next test will come from the release of US CPI figures on Friday.