GBP/USD outlook: Near term action weighed by rejection under weekly cloud

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

GBP/USD

Bears are taking a breather in European trading on Monday after strong acceleration on Thu/Fri which resulted in a weekly loss of 1.7% (the biggest weekly fall since the third week of September).

Formation of Doji reversal pattern on a weekly chart, following a multiple rejection under the base of falling weekly cloud weighs on near-term action, adding to pressure from stronger dollar on upbeat US jobs data.

Weakening daily studies on rising negative momentum and MA’s (10/20/55) turning to bearish setup, contribute to signals of possible further weakness, but oversold conditions suggest that bears may pause for consolidation, before attacking supports at 1.20 (psychological) and 1.1951 (200DMA), with extension below 1.1841 (Jan 6 trough) to confirm a double-top (1.2447) and signal reversal.

The action should be ideally capped by the top of daily cloud (1.2140) reinforced by daily Kijun-sen, to keep fresh bears intact, with potential extended upticks to stall under daily Tenkan-sen (1.2230) to maintain bearish bias.

Res: 1.2070; 1.2100; 1.2140; 1.2189.
Sup: 1.2030; 1.2000; 1.1951; 1.1900.

Interested in GBP/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

1. R3 1.2409
2. R2 1.2337
3. R1 1.2194
PP 1.2122
1. S1 1.1979
2. S2 1.1907
3. S3 1.1763

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

EUR/USD flat lines around 1.1900; looks to US NFP report for fresh directional impetus

The EUR/USD pair is seen oscillating in a narrow trading band around the 1.1900 mark during the Asian session on Wednesday as traders opt to wait for the release of US monthly employment details before placing fresh directional bets.

GBP/USD recovers losses despite rising UK political risks, BoE rate cut bets

Pound Sterling advances against the US Dollar after registering modest losses in the previous session, trading around 1.3650 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair could extend losses as the Pound Sterling faces pressure from rising political risks in the UK and growing expectations of near-term Bank of England rate cuts.

Gold awaits US Nonfarm Payrolls data for a sustained upside

Gold remains capped below $5,100 early Wednesday, gathering pace for the US labor data. The US Dollar licks its wounds amid persistent Japanese Yen strength and potential downside risks to the US jobs report. Gold holds above $5,000 amid bullish daily RSI, with eyes on 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,141.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple show no sign of recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple show signs of cautious stabilization on Wednesday after failing to close above their key resistance levels earlier this week. BTC trades below $69,000, while ETH and XRP also encountered rejection near major resistance levels. With no immediate bullish catalyst, the top three cryptocurrencies continue to show no clear signs of a sustained recovery.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

XRP holds $1.40 amid ETF inflows and stable derivatives market

Ripple trades under pressure, with immediate support at $1.40 holding at the time of writing on Tuesday. A recovery attempt from last week’s sell-off to $1.12 stalled at $1.54 on Friday, leading to limited price action between the current support and the resistance.