|

GBP/USD outlook: Cable eases on downbeat UK data, but needs to clear key supports to signal reversal

GBP/USD

GBP/USD dips on Friday morning following much bigger than expected drop in UK retail sales, which fell by 3.2% in July after 1.6% drop in June and strongly beating forecast for 2.2% fall.

Traders sold pound after downbeat data further boosted fears about the negative impact on the economy, already hit by high inflation and 14 consecutive interest rate increases, which push the borrowing cost to 5.25%.

Fresh weakness cracked pivotal supports at 1.2724/17 zone (daily cloud base / Fibo 38.2% of 1.2616/1.2787 recovery leg / daily Tenkan-sen) but needs to register close below these levels to confirm bearish signal.

Although recent weakness was contained by daily Ichimoku cloud and subsequent recovery was moving along with rising cloud top, long upper shadows of daily candles in past three days, warned of strong offers and persisting risk of recovery stall, as near-term bulls likely got trapped above 20DMA (1.2770).

Daily studies are bearishly aligned as momentum indicator remains in the negative territory and RSI is heading south, with sustained break below the base of rising and thickening daily cloud, to boost reversal signal and allow for deeper drop.

Conversely, failure to clearly break below cloud base would reduce immediate downside risk and likely keep near-term action in a sideways mode, while under pivotal barriers at 1.2817/18 (Fibo 38.2% of 1.3141/1.2616 fall / Aug 10 spike high.

Res: 1.2765; 1.2787; 1.2817; 1.2879.
Sup: 1.2701; 1.2681; 1.2656; 1.2616.

GBPUSD

Interested in GBP/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 1.2874
    2. R2 1.2831
    3. R1 1.2789
  1. PP 1.2746
    1. S1 1.2704
    2. S2 1.2661
    3. S3 1.2619

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 ahead of US data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold holds gains above $4,300 on prospect of further Fed rate cuts

Gold price extends its upside to around $4,305, the highest since October 21, during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal edges higher on further US Federal Reserve cut bets. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report will take center stage later on Tuesday. Also, the US Retail Sales and Purchasing Managers Index will be published. 

Ethereum: BitMine acquires 102,259 ETH as price plunges 5%

Ethereum treasury company BitMine Immersion scaled up its digital asset stash last week after acquiring 102,259 ETH since its last update. The purchase has increased the company's holdings to 3.96 million ETH, worth about $11.82 billion. BitMine aims to accumulate 5% of ETH's circulating supply.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.