Forex Ranking, Rating and Score for Week 4 / 2017

Frank Oznar FxTaTrader

The Top 10 of the Ranking and Rating list for the coming week shows the following stronger currencies being well represented for going long: AUD(4X) with the NZD(3X) followed by the USD(2X). The weaker currencies are the JPY(4X) followed by the CAD(3X) and the GBP(2X).
A nice combination for coming week may be e.g:

GBP/AUD with the EUR/CAD
GBP/NZD with the EUR/AUD
GBP/CAD with the EUR/NZD

Some of the pairs in the Top 10 comply for a longer term trade based on the Technical Analysis (TA) of the Daily and Weekly chart. For the coming week these seem to be: AUD/CAD, GBP/AUD, NZD/CAD, GBP/NZD, AUD/JPY and NZD/JPY. For more details read both of my articles where the relevant Charts and Tables are provided.

A new page named Statistics and Probabilities has been added to my blog. Most important motive is to emphasize that "Statistics and Probabilities" are used in my Technical Analyses. It makes it clearer that the overviews provided in my articles are not based on certainties about the future because this is simply impossible. A professional Trader is aware of this but for who may believe that e.g. the "Ranking and Rating list" provided here below is a sure bet, by just trading the pairs with the highest ranking, I recommend reading the new page "Statistics and Probabilities".

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Ranking and Rating list

Analysis based on TA charts for all the major currency pairs. Good luck to all. No advice, just info. Every week the Forex ranking rating list will be prepared in the weekend. All the relevant Time Frames will be analyzed and the ATR and Pip value will be set.

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For analyzing the best pairs to trade looking from a longer term perspective the last 13 weeks Currency Classification can be used in support.
This was updated on 8 January 2017 and is provided here for reference purposes:
Strong: USD, NZD. The preferred range is from 7 to 8.
Neutral: CHF, AUD, CAD. The preferred range is from 4 to 6.
Weak: JPY, EUR, GBP. The preferred range is from 1 to 3.

When comparing the 13 weeks Currency Classification with the pairs mentioned in the Ranking List above some would then become less interesting. On the other hand these pairs are at the top of the list partly also because of their volatility. It seems best to take positions for a short period then and take advantage of the high price movements.
With the FxTaTrader Strategy these pairs are not traded because these would be trades in the 4 Hour chart or in a lower Time Frame. Nevertheless they may offer good chances for the short term trader.
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Currency Score Chart

The Currency Score analysis is one of the parameters used for the Ranking and Rating list which is published also in this article. The Currency Score is my analysis on the 8 major currencies based on the technical analysis charts using the MACD and Ichimoku indicator on 4 Time Frames: the monthly, weekly, daily and 4 hours. The result of the technical analysis is the screenshot here below.

When comparing the 13 weeks Currency Classification with the recent Currency Score, as provided in the image above, we can determine the deviations. In the article "Forex Strength and Comparison" this is analyzed in more detail. Currencies with a high deviation seem less interesting to trade because they are less predictable. A good example at the moment is/are e.g. the AUD, USD and CAD. Unless a clear opportunity based on the longer term is shown it seems best to be avoided.

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DISCLAIMER: The articles are my personal opinion, not recommendations, FX trading is risky and not suitable for everyone.The content is for educational purposes only and is aimed solely for the use by ‘experienced’ traders in the FOREX market as the contents are intended to be understood by professional users who are fully aware of the inherent risks in forex trading. The content is for 'Forex Trading Journal' purpose only. Nothing should be construed as recommendation to purchase any financial instruments. The choice and risk is always yours. Thank you.

Author

Frank Oznar

FxTaTrader

Technical Analysis of the trading markets has fascinated me since the early 1990's. I was then about 25 years old. During the years my studies and work made it possible to look into Technical analysis from an economic and a scientific point of view.

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