EURUSD remains poised around 1.0878 as markets brace for the outcome of the highly anticipated US presidential election. With the world watching, the direction of the major currency pair will hinge significantly on the election results, where a victory for Donald Trump is likely to bolster the USD, potentially leading to a notable increase. Conversely, a win for Kamala Harris could see the USD decline by an average of 1-2%.
The impending volatility is not solely due to the election but amplified by the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for Wednesday. The Fed is anticipated to cut interest rates slightly by 25 basis points. Market participants are keenly awaiting any forward guidance from the Fed, particularly with expectations leaning towards another rate reduction in December.
While significant economic data releases are also expected, these pivotal events may overshadow their impact.
Technical analysis of EUR/USD
The EURUSD market has completed a growth structure reaching 1.0913, considered part of a third growth wave targeting 1.0950. After this target is achieved, a retraction to 1.0860 is anticipated, potentially forming a broad consolidation range around this level. Technical indicators, such as the MACD, suggest an upward trajectory, reinforcing the possibility of reaching 1.0960 before a corrective pullback to 1.0860.
Support at 1.0872 has spurred the development of a growth impulse towards 1.0900, which is expected to be tested soon. Breaching this level could extend the growth wave towards 1.0950. The Stochastic oscillator supports this short-term forecast, indicating upward momentum with its signal line targeting the upper echelons around 80.
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