|

EUR/USD plunges — Will sellers keep the pressure on?

Key highlights

  • EUR/USD declined heavily below 1.1320 and 1.1250.
  • A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance at 1.1275 on the 4-hour chart.

EUR/USD technical analysis

Looking at the 4-hour chart, the pair dropped below 1.1250 and 1.1200. It even tested 1.1165 and settled well below the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hour) and the 200 simple moving average (green, 4-hour).

It is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1380 swing high to the 1.1166 low. Immediate resistance could be 1.1250. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1275.

The first major resistance might be 1.1300. The next key resistance could be near 1.1320. A close above 1.1320 could result in a decent increase toward the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hour) at 1.1420.

If there is another drop, the pair might find support near 1.1165. The first major support might be 1.1150. A close below 1.1150 might accelerate the decline. In the stated case, the pair might drop to 1.1080.

Author

Aayush Jindal

I have spent over six years as a financial markets contributor and observer, and possess strong technical analytical skills. I am a software engineer by profession, loves blogging and observing financial markets.

More from Aayush Jindal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD turns south toward 0.6900 as USD firms up

AUD/USD sees fresh selling and drops toward 0.6900 in late Asian trading on Monday, as renewed US Dollar strength weighs on the pair amid lingering Middle East and Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions. Focus remains on Oil prices, Treasury bond yields, and RBA expectations for fresh trading impetus in the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ bets, firmer USD

USD/JPY erases losses and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin the US Dollar, despite fading Fed rate hike hopes, supporting the pair's rebound. However, further upside could be capped by hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks that could support the Japanese Yen.

Gold extends its struggle below $4,200

Gold clings to recovery gains near $4,150 early Monday, maintaining last week’s range. US Dollar reverts to 17-month highs despite receding Oil prices, Treasury yields, and Fed rate hike bets. Gold’s technical picture appears skewed to the downside in the near term.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple extend multi‑week rally as bulls target higher levels
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) extend gains on Monday, after posting weeks of gains since mid-September. The three cryptocurrencies now eye key upside targets as bullish momentum strengthens: $90,000 for BTC, $3,000 for ETH, and $1.90 for XRP. Bitcoin price trades at $86,722 on Monday after three consecutive weeks of gains.
WTI drops to near $89.00 as G7 taps emergency reserves

West Texas Intermediate oil price extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around $89.30 during Asian hours on Monday. Crude oil prices experienced a decline after G7 nations agreed to release 100 million barrels of crude and diesel from emergency reserves, pledging to avoid energy export restrictions following pressure from US President Donald Trump.

The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.