|

EUR/USD: Euro remains in the spotlight with mild upward momentum

Τhe single European currency for the seventh day in a row is moving in positive territory trying to develop a mild upward momentum having managed so far to secure the 1,0860-80  level.

Yesterday's announcement of the Minutes from the last Fed meeting did not cause any surprise, with the consequence that the recent mild rise of the European currency was not called into question and thus created the scope for further rise.

At the same time, the return of the international stock markets to a positive environment with the barometer index S&P returning again above 5,000 points  reduced the needs to buy dollars which traditionally functions as a safe haven currency and often has a negative correlation with stocks .

The US currency appears to be quite challenged,  with the aggressive rhetoric of Jerome Powell  and the rising inflation rates  a few days earlier having faded is looking for some new catalyst to return to an upward momentum.

Apart from the risk tolerance environment which certainly favors the European currency I don't see any other significant reason why the Euro could continue for long the reaction of the last few days and I expect that soon there will be signs of fatigue of this rally.

A possible change in this thinking could be today's data on the course of the European and US economy with the important indicators of the manufacturing sector being announced.

I remind  that all the previous days I always preferred to position myself in favor of the European currency but unfortunately I missed the entry point as I expected prices well below the levels of 1,07.

Perhaps this prospect has not yet been entirely out of te table.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1750 as 2025 draws to a close

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1750 in the European session on Wednesday, the final day of 2025. The pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 amid renewed USD demand

GBP/USD remains under pressure near 1.3450 in European trading on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold recovers losses above $4,300 amid the year-end grind

Gold price reverses a dip below $4,300 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, recovering intraday losses. The precious metal draws support from the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Gold has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).