|

EUR/USD: Euro remains in the spotlight with mild upward momentum

Τhe single European currency for the seventh day in a row is moving in positive territory trying to develop a mild upward momentum having managed so far to secure the 1,0860-80  level.

Yesterday's announcement of the Minutes from the last Fed meeting did not cause any surprise, with the consequence that the recent mild rise of the European currency was not called into question and thus created the scope for further rise.

At the same time, the return of the international stock markets to a positive environment with the barometer index S&P returning again above 5,000 points  reduced the needs to buy dollars which traditionally functions as a safe haven currency and often has a negative correlation with stocks .

The US currency appears to be quite challenged,  with the aggressive rhetoric of Jerome Powell  and the rising inflation rates  a few days earlier having faded is looking for some new catalyst to return to an upward momentum.

Apart from the risk tolerance environment which certainly favors the European currency I don't see any other significant reason why the Euro could continue for long the reaction of the last few days and I expect that soon there will be signs of fatigue of this rally.

A possible change in this thinking could be today's data on the course of the European and US economy with the important indicators of the manufacturing sector being announced.

I remind  that all the previous days I always preferred to position myself in favor of the European currency but unfortunately I missed the entry point as I expected prices well below the levels of 1,07.

Perhaps this prospect has not yet been entirely out of te table.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases marginally, back to 1.1800

EUR/USD navigates a narrow range on Thursday, hovering around the 1.1800 neighbourhood in a context of humble gains in the US Dollar. The pair’s lacklustre performance come amid the unabated trade uncertainty, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the cautious tone from the ECB’s Lagarde.

GBP/USD retreats from tops, approaching 1.3540

GBP/USD partially sets aside Wednesday’s strong advance and recedes to the 1.3540 region on Thursday. Cable’s modest retracement follows the equally acceptable gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold clings to gains just below $5,200, focus on geopolitics

Gold is edging modestly higher on Thursday, adding to Wednesday’s uptick and holding just below the $5,200 mark per troy ounce against the backdrop of modest gains in the US Dollar. In the meantime, attention is turning to the geopolitical scenario following US-Iran nuclear talks.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

The one thing everyone is on the lookout for is US action of some sort against Iran

The FX market is minestrone soup these days. It is befuddled by conflicting data, rumors and small stories exaggerated out of proportion, and Trump-generated uncertainty. 

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.