|

EUR/USD and Trump Tax: Levels, Ranges, Targets

Success in Trump's tax cut plan is seen not only in majorities in the House of Representatives and Senate but Republicans control 24 seats V Democrats 16 on the House Ways and Means Committees, the origination of Tax legislation. Democrats can't block tax legislation by any measures or rules. Further, Republicans control the Rules committees in the House and Senate. This means Republicans control Floor debate structures.

Current tax plans are in the period of Committee Mark Up which means the legislation was drawn and written already and Mark Up sessions are designed to work out the finer Tax cut language. Trump's tax plan success is in the 100% win category and its a matter of days before Floor debate and votes are seen to ensure Tax cut plans are codified in law. Democrats lack a leg to stand on in this tax plan.

More interesting is Republicans control Governor and State legislatures in 33 of 50 states which means possibly more tax cuts inside those respective states. At the very least, government size should be cut and that's a built -in tax decrease by itself. Trump's control for the next 2 years until Congressional elections in 2018 is solidified.

A further tax cut will be seen by elimination of Obummer care as premiums will see a drastic decrease.

EUR/USD ranges are wide so any talk from the political system and any movements derived are meaningless unless EUR/USD breaks 1.0784 and its not likely. Above in EUR/USD to rise must clear tough hurdles at 1.0682, 1.0707, 1.0724 and 1.0746. Then comes 1.0784. EUR/USD overall on the topside remains heavy and overbought. Today's hurdles to clear will continue their decline in days ahead as EUR/USD prices drop.

On the bottom side, vital break is located at 1.0584 then 1.0574, 1.0523 and 1.0518. Our bottoms and long points are located at 1.0619 and 1.0599. Most vital for today is 1.0523 due to its significance as a range break. Not likely to be seen today but a good shot exists in day's ahead. Further import to 1.0523 is a break would target 1.0461. With Trump's capitalist tendencies and Tax cuts V Draghi's dream of economic recovery through stimulus, EUR/USD is heading lower.

Author

Brian Twomey

Brian Twomey

Brian's Investment

Brian Twomey is an independent trader and a prolific writer on trading, having authored over sixty articles in Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities and Investopedia.

More from Brian Twomey
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD meets fresh supply and tests 0.7100 amid weak Australian PMIs

AUD/USD has come under fresh selling pressure and is testing 0.7100 in the Asian session on Wednesday. Australia's flash PMIs showed manufacturing slipped into contraction and services expanding slowly for a second straight month, renewing the pair's downside. Furthermore, a bullish US Dollar acts as a headwind for the pair as traders keenly await the crucial Trump-Xi summit on Thursday. Meanwhile, markets shrug off US-Iran indirect talks.

USD/JPY stands firm near mid-157.00s, close to two-week high

USD/JPY hovers around mid-157.00s in the Asian session on Wednesday, near two-week highs touched last Friday as the BoJ's dovish rate hike continues to undermine the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains firm amid the Fed's hawkish stance, adding support to the pair, though JPY intervention fears cap further gains. Markets pay little heed to the completion of the round of US-Iran indirect talks ahead of Trump-Xi meeting.

Gold falls as strong US PMI data gives Fed room to raise rates again

Gold (XAU/USD) trades on the back foot on Wednesday as expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes lift the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on the non-yielding metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin and Ethereum consolidate gains as XRP extends breakout
Bitcoin (BTC) is moderating on Wednesday, trading near $86,000 as the crypto market broadly consolidates. Ethereum (ETH) mirrors BTC’s stable outlook, holding above $2,700. Ripple (XRP), meanwhile, edges higher for the sixth consecutive day, currently sitting above $1.61 as bulls tighten their grip.
Oil rebounds above $90: Why is the Canadian Dollar still falling?
USD/CAD extends its advance on Wednesday and trades around 1.4090 at the time of writing, up 0.21% on the day. The pair remains close to its recent highs, supported by a firm US Dollar (USD), while the Canadian Dollar (CAD) struggles to recover losses from the recent decline in Oil prices. Oil dynamics, however, are becoming less negative for the Loonie.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.