|

Currency wars center on Russia’s gold

In response to Russia’s war on Ukraine, the U.S. and G-7 countries have launched a currency war against the Kremlin. Sanctions imposed on the Russian central bank have effectively blacklisted the country from the U.S. dollar-dominated global financial system.

Now the Biden administration is attempting to prevent Russia from using gold as an alternative medium of exchange.

Last week, the Treasury Department declared, “US persons are prohibited from engaging in any transaction – including gold-related transactions – involving the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, the National Wealth Fund of the Russian Federation or the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation.”

In recent years, Russia has significantly increased its gold reserves.

It currently possesses the fifth largest stockpile in the world, worth an estimated $140 billion.

U.S. officials want to prevent Russia from selling gold in order to fund its war machine. But Russian officials seem more inclined to take gold in lieu of dollars as payment in international trade.

Russia declared that “unfriendly” countries must now pay for Russian gas and other products in rubles or in gold – a move that boosted the value of the beleaguered currency.

Moscow is even considering adopting Bitcoin as an alternative means of payment in international trade, according to reports.

“If they want to buy, let them pay either in hard currency, and this is gold for us, or pay as it is convenient for us, this is the national currency [Russian rubles],” said Pavel Zavalny, chairman of the Russian Duma Committee on Energy.

Zavalny is also urging China to de-dollarize and switch to settlements in gold, rubles, or yuan.

China, India, and the Far East are pivotal players in the global currency wars. If they opt out of the increasingly expansive U.S. sanctions regime, a new bipolar monetary order could emerge.

Global confidence in the Federal Reserve Note “dollar” as world reserve currency is rapidly eroding.

If the U.S. can suddenly declare that it is freezing the dollar assets of a major foreign central bank and banning their gold from circulation, a lot of other countries will be worried they might be next to get blacklisted. They will naturally want to have a Plan B in place.

It is impossible to predict exactly how the erupting currency wars will reshape the global monetary system.

One possibility is that gold will play a much more prominent role than before.

Ever since the U.S. rescinded gold convertibility in 1971, the fiat “dollar standard” has been in force – backed implicitly by oil and the promise of Saudi Arabia and other OPEC producers to accept dollars as payment.

The petro-dollar is now at risk of losing its hegemony. While the U.S. has historically been able to use its financial and military might to keep Middle Eastern countries in line, it may be overplaying its hand in trying to force the entire world to shun Russia.

As with waging any war, however justified it may be, there will be blowback. The overt weaponization of the financial system against Russia will result in counterattacks directed at the Federal Reserve Note.

A currency’s value cannot be maintained through force alone. Plenty of dictatorships throughout history have gone down the economically ruinous path of hyperinflation.

America’s recent inflation spike may be an ominous sign of what’s to come.


To receive free commentary and analysis on the gold and silver markets, click here to be added to the Money Metals news service.

Author

Stefan Gleason

Stefan Gleason

Money Metals Exchange

Stefan Gleason is President of Money Metals Exchange, the national precious metals company named 2015 “Dealer of the Year” in the United States by an independent global ratings group.

More from Stefan Gleason
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold extends correction from record-high, trades below $4,400

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).