|

Currency wars center on Russia’s gold

In response to Russia’s war on Ukraine, the U.S. and G-7 countries have launched a currency war against the Kremlin. Sanctions imposed on the Russian central bank have effectively blacklisted the country from the U.S. dollar-dominated global financial system.

Now the Biden administration is attempting to prevent Russia from using gold as an alternative medium of exchange.

Last week, the Treasury Department declared, “US persons are prohibited from engaging in any transaction – including gold-related transactions – involving the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, the National Wealth Fund of the Russian Federation or the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation.”

In recent years, Russia has significantly increased its gold reserves.

It currently possesses the fifth largest stockpile in the world, worth an estimated $140 billion.

U.S. officials want to prevent Russia from selling gold in order to fund its war machine. But Russian officials seem more inclined to take gold in lieu of dollars as payment in international trade.

Russia declared that “unfriendly” countries must now pay for Russian gas and other products in rubles or in gold – a move that boosted the value of the beleaguered currency.

Moscow is even considering adopting Bitcoin as an alternative means of payment in international trade, according to reports.

“If they want to buy, let them pay either in hard currency, and this is gold for us, or pay as it is convenient for us, this is the national currency [Russian rubles],” said Pavel Zavalny, chairman of the Russian Duma Committee on Energy.

Zavalny is also urging China to de-dollarize and switch to settlements in gold, rubles, or yuan.

China, India, and the Far East are pivotal players in the global currency wars. If they opt out of the increasingly expansive U.S. sanctions regime, a new bipolar monetary order could emerge.

Global confidence in the Federal Reserve Note “dollar” as world reserve currency is rapidly eroding.

If the U.S. can suddenly declare that it is freezing the dollar assets of a major foreign central bank and banning their gold from circulation, a lot of other countries will be worried they might be next to get blacklisted. They will naturally want to have a Plan B in place.

It is impossible to predict exactly how the erupting currency wars will reshape the global monetary system.

One possibility is that gold will play a much more prominent role than before.

Ever since the U.S. rescinded gold convertibility in 1971, the fiat “dollar standard” has been in force – backed implicitly by oil and the promise of Saudi Arabia and other OPEC producers to accept dollars as payment.

The petro-dollar is now at risk of losing its hegemony. While the U.S. has historically been able to use its financial and military might to keep Middle Eastern countries in line, it may be overplaying its hand in trying to force the entire world to shun Russia.

As with waging any war, however justified it may be, there will be blowback. The overt weaponization of the financial system against Russia will result in counterattacks directed at the Federal Reserve Note.

A currency’s value cannot be maintained through force alone. Plenty of dictatorships throughout history have gone down the economically ruinous path of hyperinflation.

America’s recent inflation spike may be an ominous sign of what’s to come.


To receive free commentary and analysis on the gold and silver markets, click here to be added to the Money Metals news service.

Author

Stefan Gleason

Stefan Gleason

Money Metals Exchange

Stefan Gleason is President of Money Metals Exchange, the national precious metals company named 2015 “Dealer of the Year” in the United States by an independent global ratings group.

More from Stefan Gleason
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.