|

COT report – September 11, 2026

Key COT extremes and narrative takeaways

Highlights the six highest and two lowest Commercial COT Index readings, with Large Speculator positioning, weekly positioning changes, and price performance providing context for each extreme

Natural Gas — 100%: Commercial positioning is near the upper end of its 26-week range. Large Speculators are net short at −219,767 contracts, with speculative net positioning shifted lower by 10,856 contracts. Price declined 4.05%.

Australian Dollar — 94%: Commercial positioning is near the upper end of its 26-week range. Large Speculators are net short at −34,870 contracts, with speculative net positioning improved by 4,536 contracts. Price declined 0.63%.

Palladium — 69%: Commercial positioning is in the upper half of its 26-week range. Large Speculators are net short at −3,712 contracts, with speculative net positioning improved by 593 contracts. Price declined 6.07%.

Euro FX — 67%: Commercial positioning is in the upper half of its 26-week range. Large Speculators are net short at −42,616 contracts, with speculative net positioning shifted lower by 17,691 contracts. Price increased 0.16%.

Platinum — 61%: Commercial positioning is in the upper half of its 26-week range. Large Speculators are net long at +15,976 contracts, with speculative net positioning improved by 976 contracts. Price declined 1.47%.

Crude Oil (WTI) — 55%: Commercial positioning is in the upper half of its 26-week range. Large Speculators are net long at +136,579 contracts, with speculative net positioning improved by 6,668 contracts. Price increased 9.61%.

Japanese Yen — 0%: Commercial positioning is at the lower end of its 26-week range. Large Speculators are net long at +10,796 contracts, with speculative net positioning improved by 103,023 contracts. Price increased 2.42%.

Copper — 0%: Commercial positioning is at the lower end of its 26-week range. Large Speculators are net long at +92,476 contracts, with speculative net positioning improved by 11,607 contracts. Price declined 1.66%.

Market Positioning

ASSET

PRICE CHG

SPEC. NET

SPEC. NET CHG

COMM. NET

COMM. NET CHG

SMALL NET

OPEN INTEREST

OI CHG

COT INDEX

POSITIONING

Dollar Index

-0.04%

+17,604

+579

-19,188

-464

+1,584

57,858

+16%

24%

Bullish (Net Long) – Improving

Euro FX

+0.16%

-42,616

-17,691

+6,730

+15,457

+35,886

942,464

+9%

67%

Bearish (Net Short) – Weakening

Swiss Franc

+0.15%

-29,985

-7,109

+41,504

+5,416

-11,519

153,683

+12%

44%

Bearish (Net Short) – Weakening

British Pound

+0.07%

-58,836

-9,261

+57,102

+11,299

+1,734

318,608

+0%

22%

Bearish (Net Short) – Weakening

Japanese Yen

+2.42%

+10,796

+103,023

-14,041

-111,602

+3,245

499,635

+21%

0%

Bullish (Net Long) – Improving

Canadian Dollar

+0.15%

-70,499

+37,644

+74,429

-40,853

-3,930

334,861

+0%

41%

Bearish (Net Short) – Improving

Australian Dollar

-0.63%

-34,870

+4,536

+15,684

-3,126

+19,186

455,468

+16%

94%

Bearish (Net Short) – Improving

New Zealand Dollar

-0.94%

+6,232

+14,253

-5,635

-14,211

-597

125,978

+17%

0%

Bullish (Net Long) – Improving

Mexican Peso

-1.15%

+94,732

+1,485

-99,931

-2,214

+5,199

327,215

+4%

0%

Bullish (Net Long) – Improving

Crude Oil (WTI)

+9.61%

+136,579

+6,668

-166,185

-10,180

+29,606

1,939,911

+1%

55%

Bullish (Net Long) – Improving

Gasoline

+3.75%

+73,192

+3,567

-87,426

-4,889

+14,234

365,028

+3%

20%

Bullish (Net Long) – Improving

Heating Oil

+9.82%

+11,708

-2,371

-33,427

+4,303

+21,719

265,080

+0%

28%

Bullish (Net Long) – Weakening

Natural Gas

-4.05%

-219,767

-10,856

+201,126

+7,694

+18,641

1,823,243

+1%

100%

Bearish (Net Short) – Weakening

Gold

-1.95%

+231,960

+3,836

-270,274

-5,556

+38,314

411,227

-1%

10%

Bullish (Net Long) – Improving

Silver

-2.69%

+26,049

-690

-44,908

+372

+18,859

103,250

-1%

5%

Bullish (Net Long) – Weakening

Platinum

-1.47%

+15,976

+976

-19,848

-543

+3,872

67,810

+0%

61%

Bullish (Net Long) – Improving

Palladium

-6.07%

-3,712

+593

+2,832

-481

+880

16,773

+2%

69%

Bearish (Net Short) – Improving

Copper

-1.66%

+92,476

+11,607

-104,644

-12,537

+12,168

297,491

+5%

0%

Bullish (Net Long) – Improving

Author

Mohamad Gharib

Mohamad Gharib

Independent Analyst

Mohamad Gharib is a Financial Markets Analyst and Quantitative Researcher with more than 18 years of experience in financial markets, including 15 years as an FX Quant Trader.

More from Mohamad Gharib
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold: Gains remain capped by $4,400

Gold regains composure and trades with decent gains on Friday, managing to refocus attention on the $4,440 mark per ounce troy. Therefore, the precious metal reverses Thursday’s decline as the US Dollar alternates gains with losses at the end of the week.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP extends decline as returning ETF inflows fail to lift outlook
Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Weekly focus – The hawks set the tone
Risky assets came under pressure this week as energy prices kept creeping higher and the ECB surprised the markets with a hawkish tone. The price of Brent crude touched USD 110 per barrel on Thursday night, highest since mid-May, as news emerged that the Yemeni Houthis had reached control of key port cities and islands near the Bab el-Mandeb strait.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.