|

BoE, Fed and the Dollar, the greenback under strong pressure

Important news for the day:

Thu, 11th 14:30 CET US consumer price index.

Thu, 11th 14:30 CET US unemployment claims.

Wed, 10th 16:00 CET US Fed chair Powell testifies.

Interest rate decisions

According to statements from Catherine Mann, a rather hawkish member of the Bank of England, she would be also willing to cut interest rates soon. Rates have been kept at 5.5% as they want inflation figures to come down further before acting. Their economist Huw Pill also stated the same saying that this would remain an open question. Meanwhile in the US Jerome Powell seems rather reluctant to cut rates. During the second day of his testimony he emphasizes again that he wants inflation figures to come closer to the 2% level. Meanwhile though some impact of higher rates can be seen at the employment figures. Another such reading will follow this afternoon.

Market talk

The Dollar remains wek with most currencies rising against the Greenback. Precious metals are holding their recent gains but might be in for a breezer today. Gold looks more vulnerable for losses compared to Silver. Oil instead might start to rise off the current support zone. The market bounced before having tested the USD 80,00 price level. Equity markets also continue to rise with most indices pushing higher. Bitcoin and Ether on the other hand seem not able to move to the upside. BTC needs to break the USD 58,200 zone first. The New Zealand Dollar has not been able to break higher and instead is falling back below the long- term falling resistance zone. Losses might increase below the 0.6050 price level.

Tendencies in the markets:

Equities positive, USD weak, BTC sideways, ETH positive, oil positive, metals sideways, JPY weak

Author

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold meets resistance around $4,400

Gold kicks in the new trading with on the back foot, keeping its trade near $4,350 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s correction comes on the back of the firmer US Dollar and espite declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin hits $85,000 for the first time in eight months
Bitcoin price reclaims $85,000 on Monday, advancing last week’s 5% recovery toward an eight-month high. The recovery in King Crypto aligns with renewed institutional demand, with Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording $433 million in inflows on Friday.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.