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WTI trades near $81.00 after rebounding amid supply fears mount

  • WTI rises as Middle East hostilities escalate following drone strikes on Saudi oil facilities and US retaliatory airstrikes in Iraq.
  • Iran rejects a proposal for shared control of the strategic Strait of Hormuz.
  • API reveals a 3.3-million-barrel crude draw last week, pointing to tighter global supplies.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price gains ground after three days of losses, trading around $81.00 per barrel during the European hours on Wednesday. Crude oil prices have rebounded as renewed hostilities in the Middle East reignite geopolitical tensions after several days of relative calm, fueling fresh concerns over potential disruptions to global energy supplies. The escalation began as the US military reported intercepting what it described as a surprise Iranian attack targeting American troops stationed across the Middle East.

Meanwhile, Iran-backed militias in Iraq launched drone strikes against oil facilities in Saudi Arabia’s Eastern Region for a second consecutive day, though the full extent of the damage remains unclear. The incident is believed to be a direct countermeasure against recent US strikes on Iranian naval assets, triggering immediate retaliation. CENTCOM subsequently executed precision airstrikes in Iraq aimed at neutralizing Iran-backed groups planning further operations against US forces and Saudi energy infrastructure.

Diplomatic efforts to de-escalate maritime tensions also hit a wall after Iran rejected a proposal from Oman for shared 50-50 control of the Strait of Hormuz, maintaining instead that Tehran must retain full control of the inbound shipping lane and part of the outbound route.

Meanwhile, fundamentals further supported the rally as API data indicated US crude oil inventories fell by 3.3 million barrels last week, highlighting ongoing tightness in global supply.

WTI Oil FAQs

WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media.

Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa.

The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API’s report is published every Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency.

OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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