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USDCHF Price Analysis: Drops below parity, extending its losses towards the 50-DMA

  • USDCHF tumbles after hitting a daily high of 0.9926 amidst US Dollar weakness.
  • USDCHF Price Analysis: A daily close below the 50-DMA might exacerbate a fall toward 0.9700.

The USDCHF tumbles for the second straight day and falls beneath the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as the American Dollar gets battered across the board amidst a risk-on impulse underpinning risk-perceived assets. Furthermore, US Treasury yields sank, undermining the greenback. At the time of writing, the USDCHF is trading at 0.9860, below its opening price by 0.15%.

USDCHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USDCHF remains neutral-to-downward biased, even though the major dived since last Friday, when the USDCHF fell short of testing the YTD high at 1.0147, plunging almost 190 pips, after the release of US employment figures. However, the data was mixed, bolstered speculations that the US Federal Reserve will slow the pace of rate hikes.

Since then, the USDCHF extended its losses by more than 1.20%, and the 50-day EMA at 0.9852 is acting as support at the time of typing. So if USDCHF sellers achieve a daily close below the latter, that would expose the 100-day EMA at 0.9734, and the USDCHF will need to hurdle some key support levels.

Therefore, the USDCHF's first support would be the 50-day EMA, followed by the psychological 0.9800 figure. Once cleared, the next support would be the October 6 daily low at 0.9708, followed by the 100-day EMA.

On the upside, the USDCHF first resistance would be 0.9900. Break above will expose the parity, followed by the 1.0100 figure.

USDCHF Key Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9842
Today Daily Change-0.0046
Today Daily Change %-0.47
Today daily open0.9888
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9983
Daily SMA500.9855
Daily SMA1000.9738
Daily SMA2000.9614
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9988
Previous Daily Low0.9875
Previous Weekly High1.0148
Previous Weekly Low0.9911
Previous Monthly High1.0148
Previous Monthly Low0.9781
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9918
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9945
Daily Pivot Point S10.9846
Daily Pivot Point S20.9805
Daily Pivot Point S30.9734
Daily Pivot Point R10.9959
Daily Pivot Point R21.0029
Daily Pivot Point R31.0071

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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