USD/RUB: Ruble depreciation to continue at a steady pace – Commerzbank

The Russian Ruble is likely to depreciate medium-term due to the declining current account surplus, in the view of economists at Commerzbank.
Current account fundamentals negative
We now forecast USD/RUB at 120.00 by end-2024.
Residents looking to dollarise their assets probably have structural motivations, not interest rate arbitrage motivation.
We expect Ruble depreciation to continue at a steady pace.
Official data acknowledge that the current account surplus has narrowed by 73% YoY year-to-date. This is the main negative fundamental driver of the exchange rate.
Source: Commerzbank Research
Author

FXStreet Insights Team
FXStreet
The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

















