|

USD/KRW: Rebound possible before proxy sell trade – OCBC

OCBC’s Christopher Wong observes that USD/KRW’s earlier decline has stalled, with bearish momentum fading and RSI recovering from oversold territory. He sees scope for a rebound toward 1492, with support at 1460/64, before a positive sentiment turn could favour a proxy sell-rally in USD/KRW, though timing depends on how long it takes for US or Iran to “blink” in ceasefire talks.

Short-term rebound before renewed downside

"So, this is a state where 2-way trading is very much alive. On a FX technical point of view, there were short term bullish signals for a few pairs, including USD/KRW, USD/SGD, USD/TWD."

"For USD/KRW, bearish momentum shows signs of fading while RSI rose from oversold conditions. Support at 1460/64 levels"

"Near-term risk may fade, but a breakthrough could spark a risk‑on surge, favouring a proxy sell rally in USD/KRW."

"A positive turnaround in sentiments (when it happens) should be supportive of proxy sell rally trade in USDKRW, but the risk is how long it takes for US or Iran to blink."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD: Downward-sloping trendline near 1.3470 remains key barrier

The British pound faces selling pressure against its major currency peers, trading 0.1% lower at around 1.3420 against the US Dollar during the European trading session on Tuesday.

Euro clings to the bid bias above 1.1500

EUR/USD has picked up pace, reversing Monday’s decline and advancing past the 1.1500 barrier on Tuesday. In the meantime, hopes for a diplomatic solution to the Middle East crisis keep the US Dollar under modest downside pressure, helping spot in its recovery.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP extends technical weakness despite whales increasing exposure
Ripple (XRP) declines for a second day in a row, trading around $1.07 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The remittance token has continued to sustain a bearish outlook, aligning with the broader cryptocurrency market.
Volatility waits for fresh catalyst ahead of US-Iran 'talks'
EU mid-market update: SpaceX and AMD to report after the close; Volatility waits for fresh catalyst ahead of US-Iran 'talks'. - Middle East and energy drives sentiment still.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.