|

USD/JPY to move largely sideways, before declining modestly over 2024 – HSBC

USD/JPY continues to hold just below 150. Economists at HSBC analyze the pair’s outlook.

Ongoing improvement in Japan’s current account balance will provide some support for the JPY

Our base case is that USD/JPY is likely to move sideways for an extended period of time, before declining modestly over 2024, amid our expectations of narrowing (but still large) yield differentials. 

We also think the ongoing improvement in Japan’s current account balance will provide some fundamental support for the JPY. Indeed, Japan’s merchandise trade balance swung to a surplus in September, reflecting healthy export gains (supported by JPY weakness).

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains below 1.1750 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD remains on the back foot below 1.1750 in the European session on Thursday. Traders move to the sidelines and refrain from placing any fresh directional bets on the pair ahead of the ECB policy announcements and the US CPI inflation data. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3400, awaits BoE and US CPI

GBP/USD oscillates in a narrow band below 1.3400 in European trading on Thursday. The pair trades with caution as markets eagerly await the BoE policy verdict and US consumer inflation data for fresh directional impetus. 

Gold holds losses below $4,350 ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher and holds its pullback below $4,350 in the European session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar bounce. All eyes now remain on the US CPI inflation data. 

US CPI set to grow at stable 3.1% in November, further complicating the Fed’s dilemma

The US Consumer Price Index is forecast to rise 3.1% YoY in November, a mild uptick compared with September. The inflation report will not include monthly CPI figures.

Bitcoin steadies near $87,000 as strong ETF inflows offset bearish pressure

Bitcoin price hovers around $87,000 on Thursday, stabilizing after declining earlier this week. US-listed spot ETFs recorded $457.29 million in inflows on Wednesday, the highest single-day inflows since November 11.

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.