USD/JPY: Set to recover further to 145.50 – UOB Group

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Sharp advance reinforces view that the US Dollar (USD) could recover further to 145.50, UOB Group FX strategists Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

USD/JPY can go up to 145.50

24-HOUR VIEW: “We expected USD to trade between 143.00 and 144.20 yesterday. USD subsequently traded in a wider range of 143.11/144.68, closing at 143.21 (-0.27%). The price action still seems to be part of a range trading phase, even though it is likely to trade in a lower range of 142.30/144.10 today.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Our update from two days ago (23 Sep, spot at 144.20) remains valid. As highlighted, the strong advance in USD last week reinforces our view that USD could recover further to 145.50. Our view will be invalidated if USD breaks below 141.90 (no change in ‘strong support’ level).”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.

Gold advances marginally; still below $3,900

Gold attempts a mild bounce and approaches the $3,900 region per troy ounce at the end of the week. The marginal recovery in the precious metal comes on the back of a vacillating mood surrounding the US Dollar along with mixed US Treasury yields following the release of US October Producer Prices.

Bitcoin just posted five straight losing weeks, and the storm may not be over yet

Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.

Week ahead – Fed Minutes, inflation data and Nvidia earnings to guide investors

Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.

Gold hit its lowest level of 2026 near $3,850

Gold (XAU/USD) attempts to stabilize around $3,890 on Friday after falling to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. The precious metal has lost more than 4% this week, as investors increasingly anticipate further monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The latest decline reflects a sharp change in market expectations.