|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears keep the reins near 134.50, further downside appears limited

  • USD/JPY prods short-term key support confluence during three-day downtrend, stays pressured at weekly low.
  • 21-day EMA, five-week-old ascending trend line restricts immediate downside.
  • Convergence of 50-day EMA, 200-day EMA, appears a tough nut to crack for Yen pair sellers.
  • Bulls need validation from 135.25 to convince short-term buyers.

USD/JPY holds lower ground near the weekly bottom surrounding 134.50 during early Thursday. In doing so, the Yen pair drops for the third consecutive day while proding the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and an upward-sloping support line from March 24, near 134.40-50.

It’s worth noting that the Yen pair’s repeated failures to provide a daily closing beyond 138.00 join the pair’s pullback moves that broke the previous support zone around 135.25-15, comprising levels marked since mid-February, to keep the USD/JPY bears hopeful.

On the same line, the looming bear cross on the MACD adds strength to the downside bias.

However, the 21-day EMA and a five-week-old ascending support line prod the Yen pair sellers near 134.50-40 support confluence.

Following that, a convergence of the 50-day EMA and 200-day EMA, near 133.85, will be key to watch for the USD/JPY pair as it holds the gate for the bear’s welcome.

Meanwhile, USD/JPY buyers need validation from the immediate multi-day resistance zone of around 135.15-25 to convince short-term bulls.

Even so, multiple hurdles near 136.70, the 137.00 round figure and the 138.00 threshold can prod the USD/JPY buyers afterward before giving them control.

USD/JPY: Daily chart

Trend: Corrective bounce expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price134.47
Today Daily Change-0.23
Today Daily Change %-0.17%
Today daily open134.7
 
Trends
Daily SMA20134.16
Daily SMA50133.92
Daily SMA100132.89
Daily SMA200136.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High136.63
Previous Daily Low134.69
Previous Weekly High136.56
Previous Weekly Low133.01
Previous Monthly High136.56
Previous Monthly Low130.63
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%135.43
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%135.89
Daily Pivot Point S1134.05
Daily Pivot Point S2133.4
Daily Pivot Point S3132.11
Daily Pivot Point R1135.99
Daily Pivot Point R2137.28
Daily Pivot Point R3137.93

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD rises to 0.6950 as USD slips on Fed's Warsh

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the bounce toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. Fed Chair Warsh's comments reinforce the selling pressure on the US Dollar, allowing the pair to stretch higher. Warsh said that he remains committed to delivering price stability without giving away anything on future interest rate path.

USD/JPY falls in symc with USD, gives up 158.00 after Warsh's speech

USD/JPY has come under fresh selling pressure and gives up 158.00 in the Asian session on Friday amid the emergence of fresh US Dollar selling. Fed Chair Warsh's non-committal commentary on the future tightening path, weighs on the US Dollar and the pair.

Gold looks vacillating above $4,150

Gold alternates gains with losses below the key $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The yellow metal’s irresolute price action comes in response to a modest pullback in the US Dollar and a tepid recovery in US Treasury yields across the board.

Bitcoin steadies at $82,000: The five forces crushing the Uptober rally

Crypto markets have remained under pressure so far in October, with Bitcoin (BTC) sliding below $80,000 earlier this week before recovering to around $82,000 on Friday, as macroeconomic headwinds and cooling demand weigh on the market.

The Fed just got a second hot inflation number. Here's what the diesel signal is really saying
The Federal Reserve (Fed) faces a renewed inflation challenge after two consecutive reports showed price pressure intensifying across the US economy. September's Consumer Price Index (CPI) confirmed accelerating consumer inflation, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) revealed an even sharper rise in business costs. Behind both reports lies a common factor: energy prices.
Everyone's dumping Gold after hot US inflation. Here's why $4,100 could be a floor, not a cliff
Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from a sharp sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected United States (US) inflation data released on Wednesday. The precious metal briefly plunged toward $4,073 as investors increased their bets on further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes before recovering as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) reversed their initial gains.