|

USD/JPY: Likely to consolidate in a range of 144.00/145.00 – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) is likely to consolidate in a range of 144.00/145.00. In the longer run, increase in momentum is not sufficient to indicate a sustained advance just yet; USD must first break and hold above 145.50, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Increase in momentum is not sufficient to indicate a sustained advance

24-HOUR VIEW: "We expected USD to 'consolidate in a 144.00/145.15 range' yesterday. USD then rose to 144.94, dropped to 143.96, before rebounding to close modestly lower by 0.19% at 144.58. The price action still appears to be part of a consolidation phase. Today, we expect USD to trade in a range of 144.00/145.00."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Last Wednesday (04 Jun, spot at 143.85), we stated that 'the recent price action suggests USD is still trading in a range, most likely between 142.10 and 145.50.' On Friday, USD soared to a high of 145.08. Yesterday (09 Jun, spot at 144.70), we indicated that the increase in upward momentum is not sufficient to indicate a sustained advance just yet.' However, we pointed out that 'if USD were to break and hold above 145.50, it could potentially trigger a strong recovery.' The likelihood of USD breaking clearly above 145.50 will remain intact as long as the ‘strong support’ at 143.30 (level previously at 143.00) is not breached."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.