USD/INR: Break below 94.00 on flows – Societe Generale

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux and co-authors highlight that the decline in Brent below $90 supports India’s terms of trade and coincides with stronger portfolio inflows into FAR‑eligible bonds and equities.

Rupee gains with Oil tailwind

"USD/INR trades below 94.00 for the first time since April and USD/MXN extends below 18.50 which has more to do with the rebound in stocks than slump in energy prices."

"The decline in Brent below $90/b is bolstering the terms of trade of India but has also been accompanied by a sharp improvement in portfolio flows."

"Together, those factors have helped deflate USD/INR below 94.00 for the first time since April."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD stays weak above 0.6900 after China’s trade data

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s recovery and stays defensive on the 0.6900 level following the narrowing of trade surplus in China. Increased December Fed rate hike bets allows the US Dollar to pause its decline and weigh on the pair. US CPI data is next of note for the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 on weak Japanese data; focus shifts to US CPI

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday as a fall in Japan’s Household Spending offsets hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions, undermining the Japanese Yen. Moreover, Fed hike bets support the safe-haven US Dollar and the currency pair. The market focus now shifts to the release of the crucial US CPI report.

Gold comes under pressure; breaks below $4,100

Gold surrenders a big chunk of Monday’s advance and breaches below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The precious metal’s decline follows the tepid bounce in the US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields prior to US inflation figures.

Pi Network rebounds from record lows, exits oversold territory as momentum improves

Pi Network (PI) shows a strong recovery on Tuesday, up over 7% after recording its all-time low of $0.0624 the previous day. PI token’s appeal in the derivatives market shows minor improvement, with Open Interest rising to $6.21 million.

US CPI data set to ease in October as markets reassess Fed rate hike expectations

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the October Consumer Price Index data on Tuesday, a release that could influence the US Dollar valuation as investors reassess the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook. The report won’t include 12-month percentage changes for most CPI series in this release, due to missing October 2025 monthly data because of the lack of collection during the government shutdown from October 1, 2025, to November 12, 2025.

Gold reclaimed $4,100. Tuesday’s CPI test decides if it holds

Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a positive note, reclaiming the $4,100 psychological level as the US Dollar (USD) retreats from its recent highs. The precious metal recovers from Friday's losses, although investors remain cautious ahead of Tuesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could determine the next direction for Bullion.