USD/CNH: RMB depreciation continues – OCBC

The recent USD/CNY fixings suggest a measured pace of RMB depreciation, OCBC analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
USD/CNH continues to move up towards 7.31
“The recent USD/CNY fixings have followed a pattern that continued to reinforced out view that authorities are pursuing a measured pace of RMB depreciation.”
“Change in daily fix on average is about +17pips since 19 Jun (about 6 days) vs. average daily change of about 4.5pips/day since May2024. Higher USD/CNY fix and wider CNH-CNY spread gives the impression there could be further weakening in RMB ahead.”
“USD/CNH was last at 7.3011. Momentum is bullish while RSI rose. Risks skewed to the upside. Resistance at 7.31. Support at 7.2705 (21 DMA).”
Author

FXStreet Insights Team
FXStreet
The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

















