|

USD/CNH moved into a consolidative phase – UOB

In the view of UOB Group’s Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang, USD/CNH is now expected to navigate between 6.7200 and 6.8550 in the next few weeks.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “Our view for USD to ‘trade in a range’ yesterday was incorrect as it soared to a high of 6.7900 before closing at 6.7700 (+0.35%). While upward momentum has not improved much, USD could advance to 6.8000 before the likelihood of a pullback increases. The next resistance at 6.8350 is unlikely to come into view. Support is at 6.7600, followed by 6.7400.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “We have held a negative USD view for more than a week now. Yesterday (17 Jan, spot at 6.7400), we highlighted that downward momentum is beginning to ease and a break of 6.7580 would indicate that the weakness in USD has stabilized. USD subsequently soared to a high of 6.7900. The price actions suggest USD has entered a consolidation phase and will likely trade between 6.7205 and 6.8550 for the time being.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stall after US CPI-driven mild rally

The cryptocurrency market pauses on Wednesday, following a brief, macro-driven rally the previous day. Bitcoin (BTC) is consolidating above $64,500, signaling waning bullish momentum and increased profit-taking as sellers emerge.

The conflict in the Middle East: A massive blow to growth in the Gulf
For the first time since 2009 (excluding COVID), the GDP of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is expected to contract this year (-0.8%), whereas pre-conflict forecasts had predicted growth of 4.7%.
-0.4%: Why the biggest CPI drop since 2020 couldn't buy back a single cut

The June CPI fell 0.4% on the month, the largest one-month decline since April 2020, dragging the annual rate to 3.5% from May's 4.2% and snapping a three-month acceleration streak. Core prices went nowhere, flat on the month and down to 2.6% YoY, both under consensus.