|

USD/CHF retakes 0.9900 mark amid modest pickup in USD demand, ahead of US ISM PMI

  • USD/CHF turns positive for the second straight day and draws support from a combination of factors.
  • Aggressive Fed rate hike bets continue to underpin the USD and remain supportive of the move up.
  • A positive risk tone dents demand for the safe-haven CHF and provide an additional lift to the major.

The USD/CHF pair attracts fresh buying near the 0.9830 region on Monday and turns positive for the second successive day. The intraday move up picks up the pace and lifts spot prices back above the 0.9900 mark, or a three-day high during the first half of the European session.

Following an early dip, the US dollar catches fresh bids on the first day of a new week and allows the USD/CHF pair to capitalize on Friday's strong rally of nearly 150 pips from the 0.9730 area. Apart from this, a modest recovery in the global risk sentiment - as depicted by a positive tone around the US equity futures - undermines the safe-haven Swiss franc and provides an additional lift to the major.

The USD uptick, meanwhile, seems unaffected by a softer tone surrounding the US Treasury bond yields and continues to take cues from expectations that the Fed will stick to its aggressive rate hiking cycle. In fact, the markets have been pricing in another supersized 75 bps Fed rate increase in November. This, in turn, should act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and favours the USD bulls.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the ISM Manufacturing PMI for a fresh impetus later during the early North American session. The focus, however, will be on Friday's release of the US monthly jobs report, popularly known as NFP. Nevertheless, the USD/CHF pair seems poised to climb further towards the 0.9945-0.9950 supply zone, or a multi-month high set in September.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9908
Today Daily Change0.0038
Today Daily Change %0.39
Today daily open0.987
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9726
Daily SMA500.9647
Daily SMA1000.9679
Daily SMA2000.9513
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9877
Previous Daily Low0.9738
Previous Weekly High0.9966
Previous Weekly Low0.9738
Previous Monthly High0.9966
Previous Monthly Low0.948
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9824
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9791
Daily Pivot Point S10.978
Daily Pivot Point S20.969
Daily Pivot Point S30.9641
Daily Pivot Point R10.9919
Daily Pivot Point R20.9967
Daily Pivot Point R31.0058

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold meets resistance around $4,400

Gold kicks in the new trading with on the back foot, keeping its trade near $4,350 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s correction comes on the back of the firmer US Dollar and espite declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin hits $85,000 for the first time in eight months
Bitcoin price reclaims $85,000 on Monday, advancing last week’s 5% recovery toward an eight-month high. The recovery in King Crypto aligns with renewed institutional demand, with Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording $433 million in inflows on Friday.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.