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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Will USD bulls push the pair to parity?

  • The USD/CHF recovered all the ground shed post-Fed and is gaining 1.32%.
  • A dismal market mood, spurred by the central bank’s tightening, and China’s covid crisis, threatens to disrupt the global economic recovery.
  • USD/CHF Price Forecast: If USD/CHF bulls reclaim 0.9900, a move towards parity is on the cards.

The Swiss franc is losing ground against the buck, and the USD/CHF continues to reach a new YTD high after each of the last seven trading sessions amidst a dismal market mood. At 0.9852, the USD/CHF is rallying in the day, though retreated from early daily and current YTD highs around 0.9890.

Wall Street is in a middle of a stock blood bath, as reflected by the market sentiment. Central bank “aggressive” tightening, elevated US Treasury yields and a possible economic slowdown in China, spurred by the zero-tolerance Covid-19 policy, keep investors on their toes.

In the case of the USD/CHF, the pair reversed Wednesday’s profits after dipping to weekly lows reached on May 2 at around 0.9713 but staged a comeback and at the time of writing, is probing May 4 daily high at 0.9852.

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/CHF is upward biased from a daily chart perspective, as shown by the daily moving averages (DMAs) sitting below the exchange rate. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), well within the overbought territory at 79.01, might suggest that the pair is about to peak, nevertheless, it is aiming higher.

With that said, the USD/CHF’s first resistance would be March’s 23 daily high at 0.9901. Once cleared, the next step would be the parity at 1.000.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9852
Today Daily Change0.0128
Today Daily Change %1.32
Today daily open0.9722
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9536
Daily SMA500.9386
Daily SMA1000.9294
Daily SMA2000.925
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9853
Previous Daily Low0.9721
Previous Weekly High0.9759
Previous Weekly Low0.9547
Previous Monthly High0.9759
Previous Monthly Low0.9221
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9771
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9802
Daily Pivot Point S10.9678
Daily Pivot Point S20.9634
Daily Pivot Point S30.9546
Daily Pivot Point R10.981
Daily Pivot Point R20.9897
Daily Pivot Point R30.9941

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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