|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Slumps below the 200-DMA, bears target the 50-DMA

  • USD/CHF bounces off the 50-DMA support at 0.8957, currently trading near 0.8987.
  • The 200-DMA at 0.9014 is a significant resistance, capping the pair's upside.
  • Slowing inflation in Switzerland initially boosted the pair towards 0.9200.
  • A recent decline in US bond yields, combined with a double-top pattern, has pressured the pair downwards.

The USD/CHF extended its losses towards the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 0.8957, though bounced off at that level, and finished Wednesday’s session at around 0.8987, capped on the upside by the 200-DMA. As Thursday’s Asian session begins, the major exchanges hands at 0.8987, almost flat.

Revisiting the USD/CHF after a week's absence, the pair trades in between the 50 and 200-DMA, with the latter at around 0.9014, exerting downward pressure on the pair. As inflation in Switzerland continued to slow down, traders bought the pair, lifting prices toward 0.9200. But the recent fall in US bond yields sparked the major’s recent leg down, coupled with a double-top chart pattern.

Given the backdrop, the USD/CHF pair is trading sideways. A break below the 50-DMA would expose the 0.8900 figure, followed by a September 11 swing low test of 0.8893. On the other hand, if USD/CHF reclaims the 200-DMA, the pair could rally and test the latest cycle high of 0.9088 before launching an attack toward the month-to-date (MTD) high of 0.9245.

USD/CHF Price Action – Daily chart

USD/CHF Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8987
Today Daily Change-0.0015
Today Daily Change %-0.17
Today daily open0.9002
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9096
Daily SMA500.895
Daily SMA1000.8905
Daily SMA2000.9019
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9032
Previous Daily Low0.899
Previous Weekly High0.9124
Previous Weekly Low0.8987
Previous Monthly High0.9225
Previous Monthly Low0.8795
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9016
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9006
Daily Pivot Point S10.8984
Daily Pivot Point S20.8966
Daily Pivot Point S30.8942
Daily Pivot Point R10.9026
Daily Pivot Point R20.905
Daily Pivot Point R30.9068

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold remains depressed around $4,350 amid rate jitters, modest USD strength

Gold maintains its offered tone through the first half of the European session, and currently trades around $4,350, down over 0.50% for the day. The commodity, however, holds comfortably above a six-week low, touched last Wednesday as traders await further developments around the Middle East crisis and their implications for inflation. This, in turn, would influence interest rate expectations and, in turn, drive the non-yielding bullion.

Zcash holds above $1,500 amid Grayscale ETF stock split, NU7 upgrade

Zcash is trading above $1,500 after more than 40% gains last week, driven by institutional inflows and broader crypto market recovery. Grayscale’s ZEC-focused Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) recorded $98.21 million in inflows last week, while developers focus on the NU7 upgrade to boost its private payment speed.

The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.