|

USD/CHF fails to return above 0.9300 with the Dollar losing ground

  • The US Dollar revisits session lows at 0.9275 after failure at 0.9300.
  • The pair remains moving in recent ranges in a thin market session.
  • Speculation about a potential US recession and Fed easing in 2023 are hurting Dollar demand.

The Greenback’s attempt to regain the 0.9300 level seen on Wednesday’s early European session has been capped at 0.9305. The pair, however, remains within recent ranges, supported above 0.9275/80 and moderately positive on daily charts.

The USD treads water, weighed by Fed easing speculation

In absence of relevant macroeconomic releases this week, the cooling US inflation figures seen on Friday have boosted speculation about a slowdown on the Federal Reserve’s monetary tightening path in 2023, which is keeping Dollar bulls in check.

Furthermore, a recent batch of lackluster US indicators has spurred concerns about the possibility of a recession in 2023, which add pressure on the US central bank to abandon its hawkish stance ahead of schedule.

The US Dollar Index, as a matter of fact, is accelerating its reversal from session highs at 104.35, losing 0.2% on the daily chart after a moderately positive session opening and erasing Tuesday’s mild recovery.

Furthermore, the flat US Treasury bond yields are failing to stimulate Dollar bulls, while the market mood remains moderately upbeat, with the major European stock indexes in the green on the back of news that China is planning to end restrictions to inbound travelers from January 8.

Regarding the macroeconomic calendar, the Swiss ZEW survey has shown a larger-than-expected improvement in economic expectations, with a -42.8 reading in December against market expectations of -50.5 and from the -57.5 seen in the previous month.

During the North American session, the US Pending Home sales, the Richmond Fed Manufacturing index, and oil stocks figures might offer some distraction to currency traders.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9281
Today Daily Change-0.0013
Today Daily Change %-0.14
Today daily open0.9294
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.934
Daily SMA500.9583
Daily SMA1000.9659
Daily SMA2000.9645
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9331
Previous Daily Low0.927
Previous Weekly High0.9348
Previous Weekly Low0.9227
Previous Monthly High1.0148
Previous Monthly Low0.9357
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9293
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9307
Daily Pivot Point S10.9265
Daily Pivot Point S20.9237
Daily Pivot Point S30.9204
Daily Pivot Point R10.9326
Daily Pivot Point R20.9359
Daily Pivot Point R30.9387

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold meets resistance around $4,400

Gold kicks in the new trading with on the back foot, keeping its trade near $4,350 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s correction comes on the back of the firmer US Dollar and espite declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin hits $85,000 for the first time in eight months
Bitcoin price reclaims $85,000 on Monday, advancing last week’s 5% recovery toward an eight-month high. The recovery in King Crypto aligns with renewed institutional demand, with Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording $433 million in inflows on Friday.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.