|

USD/CHF dives back below 1.0000 on Fed easing hopes

  • The dollar dives below parity, gives away previous gains.
  • Downbeat US data spur hopes of a slower Fed tightening pace.
  • USD/CHF: Further depreciation below 0.9950 might increase negative pressure.

Greenback’s recovery from the 0.9940 area has been capped at 1.0030 on Tuesday’s US trading session, as the pair gave away gains and retreated to the mid-range of the 0.99s.

The USD tumbles following weak US data

The US dollar is dropping sharply across the board as a set of downbeat US indicators has increased concerns that the Federal Reserve’s fast tightening pace might be damaging economic growth.

US housing prices contracted at a 0.7% pace in August, beyond the -0.3% expected and consumer confidence deteriorated for the second consecutive month in October. On Monday, the S&P PMIs reflected a further contraction in business activity. These figures are putting pressure on the Fed to consider shorter rate hikes in the coming months.

Hopes of Fed easing have boosted risk appetite. US stock markets expanded gains after a lackluster opening and Treasury bond yields dropped sharply. The US dollar, as a result, lost ground across the board.  

USD/CHF: Breach of 0.9950 support might increase negative pressure

The pair is now trading right above the 100-period SMA in the four-hour chart, at 0.9950, below here, bears might increase their pressure, pushing the pair towards  0.9780 (Oct. 4 and 6 lows) and 0.9740 (Sept. 30 low).

On the upside, October 24 high at 1.0035 should be cleared to aim toward 1.0065/75 (October 13 and 14 highs). Confirmation above that level would set the pair at three-year highs, aiming for May 20, 2019 high.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9969
Today Daily Change-0.0045
Today Daily Change %-0.45
Today daily open1.0014
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9934
Daily SMA500.9783
Daily SMA1000.9722
Daily SMA2000.9576
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0032
Previous Daily Low0.9944
Previous Weekly High1.0148
Previous Weekly Low0.9919
Previous Monthly High0.9966
Previous Monthly Low0.948
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9998
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9978
Daily Pivot Point S10.9962
Daily Pivot Point S20.9909
Daily Pivot Point S30.9874
Daily Pivot Point R11.005
Daily Pivot Point R21.0085
Daily Pivot Point R31.0137

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold meets resistance around $4,400

Gold kicks in the new trading with on the back foot, keeping its trade near $4,350 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s correction comes on the back of the firmer US Dollar and espite declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin hits $85,000 for the first time in eight months
Bitcoin price reclaims $85,000 on Monday, advancing last week’s 5% recovery toward an eight-month high. The recovery in King Crypto aligns with renewed institutional demand, with Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording $433 million in inflows on Friday.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.