|

USD/CHF clings to modest intraday gains, remains below 0.9200 ahead of US GDP

  • USD/CHF gains some positive traction on Thursday amid a modest pickup in the USD demand.
  • Rebounding US bond yields underpins the buck amid some repositioning ahead of the US data.
  • Bets for smaller rate hikes by the Fed keep a lid on the USD and act as a headwind for the pair.

The USD/CHF pair attracts some buying in the vicinity of the weekly low, around the 0.9160 region on Thursday and recovers a part of the previous day's modest losses. The pair sticks to its modest gains heading into the North American session and is currently placed just below the 0.9200 mark.

In the meantime, an intraday pickup in the US Treasury bond yields assists the US Dollar to recover a bit from an eight-month low, which, in turn, lends some support to the USD/CHF pair. The USD uptick could further be attributed to some repositioning trade ahead of important US macro releases - the Preliminary (first estimate) fourth-quarter GDP print, Durable Goods Orders and New Home Sales data.

That said, rising bets for a smaller 25 bps interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in February keep a lid on any meaningful upside for the US bond yields. This might hold back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets. Furthermore, concerns about a deeper global economic downturn underpin the Swiss Franc's (CHF) relative safe-haven status and also contribute to capping gains for the USD/CHF pair.

Nevertheless, spot prices remain well within the striking distance of the lowest level since November 2021 touched last week. Moreover, the lack of any buying interest suggests that the near-term bearish trend witnessed since early November 2022 might still be far from being over. This makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before confirming that the USD/CHF pair has formed a bottom.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9186
Today Daily Change0.0005
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open0.9181
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9248
Daily SMA500.9331
Daily SMA1000.9578
Daily SMA2000.9635
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9245
Previous Daily Low0.9172
Previous Weekly High0.9288
Previous Weekly Low0.9085
Previous Monthly High0.9471
Previous Monthly Low0.9201
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.92
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9217
Daily Pivot Point S10.9154
Daily Pivot Point S20.9126
Daily Pivot Point S30.908
Daily Pivot Point R10.9226
Daily Pivot Point R20.9272
Daily Pivot Point R30.93

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD looks inconclusive near 0.7120

AUD/USD has been struggling for direction on Monday, coming under fresh downside pressure soon after retesting the 0.7140 area and looking to stabilise in the low 0.7100s ahead of the opening bell in Asia on Tuesday. The pair’s daily decline comes on the back of the generalised improvement in the sentiment surrounding the Greenback.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold meets resistance around $4,400

Gold kicks in the new trading with on the back foot, keeping its trade near $4,350 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s correction comes on the back of the firmer US Dollar and espite declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin and Gold Outlook: BTC surges past $85K as Gold slips
Bitcoin (BTC) rises alongside the broader cryptocurrency market on Monday, trading near $86,000 at the time of writing. The Crypto King has maintained a robust bullish outlook since September 16 and is currently targeting a short-term breakout to the resistance range between $88,000 and $90,000. Meanwhile, Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure as it posts a minor correction.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.