|

USD/CHF advances after US mid-tier economic figures, bulls momentum still limited

  • The USD/CHF is navigating towards the 0.8515 level, registering a modest gain of 0.3% after jumping to a daily high of 0.8555.
  • The US JOLTs Job Openings for November were reported at 8.79M by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, lower than expected.
  • The US ISM Manufacturing PMI for December reported lower at 47.4, better than the 47.1 expected.
  • FOMC minutes might provide additional guidance to the markets.

In Wednesday's trading session, the USD/CHF pair exhibited a bullish stance but failed to hold its momentum, which took it to a high of around 0.8555 and stabilized at 0.8515. This upward surge is largely attributed to a strengthened US Dollar following the release of mid-tier economic data from the US, which drove investors to the US Dollar. Later in the session, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will release the December meeting minutes, which may affect the pair's dynamics.

The US labor market demonstrated a slightly negative outlook, with the JOLT's Job Openings falling short of expectations. As reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the figures for November came in at 8.79M, failing to meet the 8.85M consensus, while slightly lower than the previous figure of 8.85M. However, the situation of the labor sector will be better portrayed by the Nonfarm Payrolls alongside the Average Hourly Earnings and the Unemployment rate from December, to be reported on Friday.

The US dollar is regaining some of its losses as, despite the soft JOLTs figures, the US is still showcasing the strength of its economy. In that sense, December's ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 47.4, from November's 46.7, further lagging behind market expectations of 47.1, while the Manufacturing employment index also beat expectations coming in at 48.1 vs the 46.1 expected. However, the Dollar susceptibility persists until market easing expectations adjust.

USD/CHF levels to watch

On the daily chart, indicators suggest that bears are losing ground but haven't given up yet. The positive slope in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), albeit in negative territory, suggests that buying momentum may slowly build up despite being in an overall bearish zone. This could potentially hint at a possible transition from selling to buying pressure.

In line with that, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) prints decreasing red bars, an indication that selling pressure, despite receding, it seems to be maintaining its grip. This means that sellers still have some momentum on their side and could possibly hinder any bullish advancement in the short term.

Regarding the broader perspective of the market, bears are in command as the pair remains well below its 20,100 and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs).


USD/CHF daily chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.851
Today Daily Change0.0007
Today Daily Change %0.08
Today daily open0.8503
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8613
Daily SMA500.879
Daily SMA1000.8878
Daily SMA2000.8896
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8507
Previous Daily Low0.8399
Previous Weekly High0.858
Previous Weekly Low0.8333
Previous Monthly High0.8821
Previous Monthly Low0.8333
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8466
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.844
Daily Pivot Point S10.8432
Daily Pivot Point S20.8362
Daily Pivot Point S30.8324
Daily Pivot Point R10.854
Daily Pivot Point R20.8578
Daily Pivot Point R30.8648

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold: Sellers test $4,350 on renewed USD upside

Gold kicks off the new week on a weaker note following Friday's failure near the $4,400 mark. The commodity currently trades near the $4,350 level as traders await further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis and their implications for inflation. This would influence interest rate expectations and, in turn, drive the non-yielding bullion.

Dogecoin extends gains as ETF inflows return and momentum improves

Dogecoin extends its recovery, trading above $0.088 after gaining nearly 6% last week. The bullish price outlook is supported by the return of institutional demand through DOGE spot Exchange Traded Funds. Meanwhile, improving momentum indicators and signs of whale accumulation suggest a positive outlook for the dog-themed meme coin.

Economics week ahead

This week is light on the domestic data front, with focus on Thursday's new home sales report. We expect sales to partially recover in August, rising 2.6% to a 623K pace after a sharp decline in July. Higher mortgage rates continue to weigh on affordability and demand, though builder incentives remained in place and conditions did not worsen materially during the month.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.