|

USD/CAD: The potential for Loonie softness looks relatively limited – Scotiabank

CAD rally stalls, losses should remain limited, in the view of economists at Scotiabank.

The Canadian economy remains relatively robust

For the first time since the start of June, factors may be pointing a little more clearly to the potential for some consolidation in recent gains. Still, the potential for CAD softness looks relatively limited. 

The CAD remains close to fair value and has been tracking factor inputs a bit more closely in the past couple of weeks. There is no obvious sign of misalignment in the CAD’s estimated fundamental fair value at this point. 

The Canadian economy remains relatively robust – in contrast to a backdrop of slowing global growth momentum as tighter monetary policy bears down on activity – and the potential for tighter BoC policy in July remains real.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD keeps the bid bias near 1.3550

GBP/USD leaves behind part of the recent three-day retracement and hovers around the 1.3550 region on Monday. The Greenback’s fresh downward trend helps Cable and the rest of the risk complex recoup part of the recent ground lost while attention remains on the potential Fed rate path.

EUR/USD reclaims 1.1600 and beyond

EUR/USD keeps pushing harder on Monday, this time surpassing the key 1.1600 hurdle. The pair’s rebound comes as the selling pressure on the US Dollar has been gathering further traction in the last few hours, at the time when investors continue to assess the likelihood of a Fed rate hike in September.

Gold: Is the bullish run over?

Gold adds to Friday’s marked decline, although it has managed to bounce off earlier lows in the sub-$4,400 region per troy ounce on Monday. The yellow metal’s pullback comes despite the softer stance in the US Dollar and steady uncertainty in the Middle East, although rising yields keep bulls at bay for now.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP broadly consolidate amid renewed US-Iran strikes

Bitcoin remains resilient above $78,000 as investors anticipate a renewed push toward $80,000. Ethereum continues to demonstrate a constructive technical setup, holding above $2,400. Ripple is exhibiting early signs of recovery near $1.37.

Oil rallies on fresh persian gulf strikes
Energy prices are trading firmer this morning after the US carried out targeted strikes against Iran, drawing retaliatory strikes and reinforcing concerns about a prolonged stalemate in the Persian Gulf. Oil prices started the week stronger following the first military strikes between the US and Iran in a month. ICE Brent briefly moved back above US$90/bbl in early morning Asia trading.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.