|

USD/CAD slides further below 1.3200 mark amid weaker USD, recovering oil prices

  • A combination of factors exerted some follow-through selling around USD/CAD on Tuesday.
  • The US political uncertainty kept the USD bulls on the defensive and exerted some pressure.
  • A sudden pickup in oil prices underpinned the loonie and added to the intraday selling bias.

The USD selling bias picked up pace during the early European session and dragged the USD/CAD pair below the 1.3200 round-figure mark in the last hour.

Following a brief consolidation through the first half of the trading action on Tuesday, the pair met with some fresh supply and added to the previous day's heavy losses of over 150 pips. The uncertainty US political situation prompted investors to unwind their US dollar bullish bets, which, in turn, was seen as a key factor exerting pressure on the USD/CAD pair.

Despite the fact that the incoming opinion polls have been indicating a strong lead for Democrat challenger Joe Biden over incumbent President Donald Trump, investors refrained from predicting the actual outcome of Tuesday's US presidential election. Apart from this, the prevalent upbeat market mood further dented the greenback's relative safe-haven status.

On the other hand, a strong pickup in oil prices – now up over 2% for the day – underpinned demand for the commodity-linked currency – the loonie – and further contributed to the intraday slide. Oil prices got a strong lift on Tuesday and recovered further from multi-month lows touched earlier this week on reports that Russian oil firms may agree to an extension of OPEC+ production cuts.

Meanwhile, the latest leg of a sudden slide over the past hour or so could further be attributed to some technical selling below the 1.3200 round-figure mark. Hence, it remains to be seen if the downfall marks a near-term bearish breakdown or attracts some buying at lower levels amid investors' reluctance to place aggressive bets heading into the key event risk.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3182
Today Daily Change-0.0048
Today Daily Change %-0.36
Today daily open1.323
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3201
Daily SMA501.3207
Daily SMA1001.3327
Daily SMA2001.3546
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.337
Previous Daily Low1.3226
Previous Weekly High1.339
Previous Weekly Low1.3125
Previous Monthly High1.339
Previous Monthly Low1.3081
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3281
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3315
Daily Pivot Point S11.318
Daily Pivot Point S21.3131
Daily Pivot Point S31.3035
Daily Pivot Point R11.3325
Daily Pivot Point R21.342
Daily Pivot Point R31.3469

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.