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USD/CAD eyes WTI that seesaws between Iran nuclear deal and the Russia-Ukraine tensions

  • USD/CAD is sensing resistance near 1.2715 as WTI prices consolidate.
  • The risk-off impulse in the market is not favouring the DXY.
  • Oil prices seesaw between the US-Iranian nuclear deal and the Russia and Ukraine tussle.

The USD/CAD pair is hovering in the vicinity of 1.2700 with a high of 1.2714 recently printed as West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX capped on the upside. This is seen due to potential US-Iranian nuclear deal and supported by escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine on the downside.

It is expected that the US may salvage the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, which will blow up oil stockpiles and reduce the demand-supply deficit further. The removal of sanctions on Iran by the US will not only spurt the total global supplies but will cap the boiling oil prices. Canada, being the largest exporter of oil to the US will find some squeeze in liquidity for those exports.

While the shelling between Ukraine armed forces and pro-Moscow rebels across a ceasefire line in eastern Ukraine has renewed the risk-off impulse and oil prices are supported again. Any further negative development on the Russia-Ukraine tussle may force the US to put sanctions on Russia, which will reduce oil supplies from Vladimir Putin’s area. Russia is one of the largest producers of crude oil and sanctions on Russian exports may squeeze the supply of oil in an already tight market.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is still inside the woods and performing lackluster against other safe-haven assets. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields has slipped below 2%.

For sure, the headlines from the geopolitical fears will keep the fireworks in the USD/CAD pair. Adding to that, the monetary policy report from the Federal Reserve (Fed) on Friday will also remain in the focus.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2709
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open1.2705
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2696
Daily SMA501.2708
Daily SMA1001.2624
Daily SMA2001.2539
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2735
Previous Daily Low1.2674
Previous Weekly High1.2756
Previous Weekly Low1.2636
Previous Monthly High1.2814
Previous Monthly Low1.2451
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2712
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2697
Daily Pivot Point S11.2675
Daily Pivot Point S21.2645
Daily Pivot Point S31.2615
Daily Pivot Point R11.2735
Daily Pivot Point R21.2765
Daily Pivot Point R31.2795

Author

FXStreet Team

Composed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market.

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