|

USD/CAD erases daily losses on Bullard's hawkish remarks, fails to hold above 1.32

  • Fed's Bullard argues against a 50 bps rate cut in July.
  • FOMC Chairman Powell largely repeats last Wednesday's remarks.
  • US Dollar Index recovers modestly, looks to snap 4-day losing streak.

The greenback gathered strength against its major rivals in the last hour after St. Louis Fed President Bullard's comments weakened the probability of a 50 basis points rate cut in July. Boosted by the greenback's rebound, the USD/CAD pair rose to a daily high of 1.3207 but failed to preserve its strength. As of writing, the pair was posting small daily gains at 1.3183.

During an interview with Bloomberg TV, Bullard said a 50 basis points rate cut in July would be overdone. "I don't think the situation really calls for that, but I would be willing to go 25," Bullard added. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, markets are now pricing a 35% probability of a 50 bps rate cut compared to 43% seen on Monday. The US Dollar Index, which reached a daily peak of 96.36 following the knee-jerk reaction, was last up 0.15% on the day at 96.15.

Meanwhile, FOMC Chairman Powell in his prepared remarks today pretty much repeated his opening statement that he delivered last Wednesday during the FOMC press conference.

On the other hand, today's data from Canada showed that wholesale sales increased by 1.7% on a monthly basis in April to surpass the market expectation of 0.2% by a wide margin to help the loonie stay relatively resilient. Moreover, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate is clinging to its daily gains near the $58 mark, providing additional support to the commodity-related CAD.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3182
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.318
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.336
Daily SMA501.3405
Daily SMA1001.3356
Daily SMA2001.3288
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3218
Previous Daily Low1.3178
Previous Weekly High1.3434
Previous Weekly Low1.3151
Previous Monthly High1.3566
Previous Monthly Low1.3357
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3193
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3202
Daily Pivot Point S11.3166
Daily Pivot Point S21.3152
Daily Pivot Point S31.3126
Daily Pivot Point R11.3206
Daily Pivot Point R21.3232
Daily Pivot Point R31.3247

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to gains near 1.3400

GBP/USD retreats after reaching a three-week high above 1.3430, challenging the 1.3400 yardstick on Thursday. Although easing political uncertainty in the UK helps the quid limit its downside, escalating tensions in the Middle East support the Greenback, keeping Cable under scrutiny.

EUR/USD: Daily gains appear capped by 1.1450

EUR/USD keeps the recovery in place and looks to consolidate its gains north of 1.1400 the figure at the end of the NA session on Thursday. The pair’s move higher appears in tandem with a modest pullback in the US Dollar despite geopolitical concerns in the Middle East remain unabated.

Gold flirts with two-day highs, approaches $4,130

Gold stages a modest rebound on Thursday, setting aside a three-day losing streak and managing to surpass the $4,100 mark per troy ounce. However, steady geopolitical tensions have revived concerns over persistently high global inflation, reinforcing expectations of higher rates across the board and somewhat curtailing the yellow metal’s upside potential.

AAVE eyes $100 after Stable Vaults launch

Aave edges higher above $90.00 at the time of writing on Thursday, amid broader price stabilization in the crypto market. The company has announced Stable Vaults, a platform that allows businesses to integrate fixed-rate stablecoin yield, mildly lifting sentiment in the ecosystem.

Japan may be changing its Yen strategy, but markets don’t look scared
Japan may be changing its intervention playbook, but that might not be enough to rescue the battered Yen. With USD/JPY hovering at four-decade highs, the currency’s weakness is being driven less by speculative pressure and more by a powerful structural force: the wide US-Japan rate gap.
Bye, forward guidance: How to trade when central banks choose silence

Central banks have spent years telling markets what might come next. Now, traders face the possibility that they say a lot less. From the Federal Reserve to the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, policymakers are pushing back against forward guidance.