|

US S&P Manufacturing PMI rises to 52.4, Services PMI declines to 51.1

  • US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rose to 52.4 in March.
  • US Dollar Index stays in positive territory near 99.50.

The business activity in the US private sector continued to expand at a moderate pace in March, with the preliminary S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) coming in at 51.4, down slightly from 51.9 in February.

In this period, the Manufacturing PMI improved to 52.4 from 51.6, while the Services PMI declined to 51.1 from 51.7.

Assessing the survey's findings, "the flash PMI survey data for March signal an unwelcome combination of slower growth and rising inflation following the outbreak of war in the Middle East," said Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

"The Fed will therefore need juggle these intensifying upside risks to inflation against the growing risk of the economy losing growth momentum, with much depending on the duration of the war and its impact on energy prices and global supply chains," Williamson added.

Market reaction

The US Dollar Index preserves its recovery momentum following the PMI data and was last seen rising 0.3% on the day at 99.45.

(This story was corrected at 15:11 GMT to note in the second paragraph that the Services PMI declined to 51.1 in March, not 51.5.)

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD: Recovery appears capped by 0.7000

AUD/USD has reversed a multi-day positive streak, briefly revisiting the 0.6940 region before trimming part of those gains to end the day modestly on the back foot. The better tone in the Greenback has kept the pair under pressure, which has so far met decent contention in the vicinity of the 0.6900 zone. Moving forward, the Melbourne Institute’s Consumer Inflation Expectations is next on tap in Oz.

USD/JPY holds firm near 158.50 ahead of Fed Minutes

USD/JPY hangs close to a one-and-a-half-week high near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond the 200-day SMA hurdle before positioning for further gains ahead of the FOMC Minutes. Meanwhile, a fresh leg up in US bond yields revives US Dollar demand amid geopolitical uncertainties, boosting the pair amid dovish BoJ commentary.

Gold trims losses, back above $4,100

Gold now manages to regain some balance, returning to the area above the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce following the closing bell in Europe on Wednesday. The yellow metal’s sharp pullback comes in tandem with marked gains in the US Dollar and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin vs Gold: BTC and XAU fall amid macro headwinds, but Ray Dalio still prefers Gold
Bitcoin (BTC) edges lower on Wednesday, trading near $83,000. The broader correction in the cryptocurrency market can be attributed to heavily leveraged long liquidations, macro and geopolitical pressure reducing risk appetite. Gold (XAU/USD), similarly, remains in bearish hands as it tests short-term support at $4,100.
Fed Minutes: Officials saw inflation risks worsening before September hike
All participants at the Federal Reserve's (Fed) September 15–16 meeting supported the 25-basis-point rate increase, while most judged that another hike would probably be appropriate by the end of the year. The Minutes show policymakers increasingly focused on upside inflation risks, a resilient economy and the possibility that strong AI investment could add to demand pressures.
The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.