|

US Dollar on the defensive near 95.50, US CPI eyed

The greenback, in terms of the US Dollar Index, is trading on the back footing early in the European session although it manages to keep the area around 95.50 for the time being.

US Dollar attention to US docket

Choppy week so far for the index, fading last week’s advance and navigating at shouting distance from multi-month lows in the 95.25/20 band.

Both testimonies by Chief Janet Yellen failed to bring in fresh USD-buyers despite leaving on the table a third rate hike (probable at the December meeting) and reiterating the Fed’s willingness to start reducing its balance sheet at some point in the second half of the year.

However, FOMC’s permanent voter Lael Brainard advocated on Tuesday the need for a more cautious approach when comes to tightening the current monetary conditions in order to clinch the 2% inflation target. Her comments hurt the buck and aggregated extra relevance to today’s releases of June’s inflation figures measured by the CPI.

So, apart from the CPI results, the greenback will stay under pressure as retail sales for the month of June are also due along with the Reuters/Michigan index and the speech by Dallas Fed R.Kaplan (voter, hawkish).

US Dollar relevant levels

The index is losing 0.13% at 95.44 and a breach of 95.25 (low Jul.13) would open the door to 95.22 (2017 low Jun.30) and then 94.95 (low Sep.22 2016). On the upside, the next up barrier emerges at 95.71 (10-day sma) seconded by 96.25 (high Jul.5) and finally 96.32 (high Jun.28).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD drops to 1.3200 region as UK PM Starmer resigns

GBP/USD has come under renewed selling pressure in the European session on Monday, falling back to the 1.3200 region. UK PM Keir Starmer announced that he will resign and noted that nominations for new contender will open on July 9.

EUR/USD turns south toward 1.1400 amid concerns over Iran deal progress

EUR/USD turns south toward 1.1400 in the European trading hours on Monday. Concerns about progress for the US-Iran peace deal and expectations of higher US interest rates keep the US Dollar supported against the Euro. ECB President Lagarde is set to speak later on Monday.  

Gold lacks bullish conviction near $4,200 as Fed hike bets and Iran risks underpin USD

Gold maintains its bid tone near the $4,200 mark through the first half of the European session, and seems to have snapped a three-day losing streak, to a more than one-week low set the previous day. Crude Oil prices turn lower after mediators – Qatar and Pakistan – announced a formal 60-day roadmap aimed at securing a final US-Iran peace deal.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
Canada CPI Preview: Inflation expected to tick higher in May, pressuring BoC outlook

The publication of Canada’s May Consumer Price Index figures on Monday will be the focus of attention. Indeed, Statistics Canada data will provide markets with an update on price pressures following its June 10 meeting, where policymakers kept the interest rate steady at 2.25%, matching the broad consensus.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.