|

US Dollar Index Price Forecast: 101.80 remains key support zone ahead of FOMC minutes

  • The US Dollar reflects strength ahead of the FOMC minutes release later in the day.
  • Fed officials have signaled no urgency for another interest rate hike.
  • Oil prices bounce back amid fears of storm hitting US energy capacity.

The US Dollar (USD) trades higher against its major peers ahead of the release of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes of the September policy meeting at 18:00 GMT.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.31%0.22%0.17%0.11%0.22%0.34%0.19%
EUR-0.31%-0.09%-0.12%-0.20%-0.08%0.02%-0.13%
GBP-0.22%0.09%-0.04%-0.09%-0.00%0.13%-0.01%
JPY-0.17%0.12%0.04%-0.07%0.05%0.16%0.02%
CAD-0.11%0.20%0.09%0.07%0.11%0.24%0.10%
AUD-0.22%0.08%0.00%-0.05%-0.11%0.13%-0.02%
NZD-0.34%-0.02%-0.13%-0.16%-0.24%-0.13%-0.13%
CHF-0.19%0.13%0.01%-0.02%-0.10%0.02%0.13%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

In the early European trade, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.22% higher at around 102.07.

Investors will pay close attention to FOMC minutes to get fresh cues regarding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy outlook.

Lately, Fed board members have signaled that there is no urgency for another interest rate hike, but have maintained a hawkish stance on the outlook.

On the global front, oil prices have shown some signs of recovery after remaining under pressure in over two weeks. The WTI Oil price has rebounded as fears of storm hitting energy production in the United States (US) have renewed oil supply fears.

US forecasters said on Tuesday a storm forming in the Gulf of Mexico would become the first Atlantic hurricane of 2026 within two days and would likely hit oil and gas producing facilities, Reuters report.

Higher energy prices could reinforce fears of global price projections remaining higher, a scenario that could boost hawkish Fed bets.

US Dollar Index Technical Analysis

In the daily chart, Dollar Index Spot trades at 102.10. The near-term bias is bullish as price holds above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 101.04, suggesting the recent advance remains supported by trend dynamics. The Relative Strength Index (14) at 71.92 sits in overbought territory, hinting that upside momentum is strong but increasingly stretched, which could invite bouts of consolidation or shallow pullbacks rather than an immediate reversal.

On the downside, immediate support is seen at 101.80, followed by the 20-day EMA at 101.04, where buyers would be expected to defend the broader uptrend on any retracement. Looking up, the asset aims to revisit its annual high of 102.54 posted on Monday.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Economic Indicator

FOMC Minutes

FOMC stands for The Federal Open Market Committee that organizes 8 meetings in a year and reviews economic and financial conditions, determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. FOMC Minutes are released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve and are a clear guide to the future US interest rate policy.

Read more.

Next release: Wed Oct 07, 2026 18:00

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: -

Previous: -

Source: Federal Reserve

Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is usually published three weeks after the day of the policy decision. Investors look for clues regarding the policy outlook in this publication alongside the vote split. A bullish tone is likely to provide a boost to the greenback while a dovish stance is seen as USD-negative. It needs to be noted that the market reaction to FOMC Minutes could be delayed as news outlets don’t have access to the publication before the release, unlike the FOMC’s Policy Statement.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains depressed 0.7000, awaits FOMC Minutes

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on its recent recovery move and trades with a negative bias below 0.7000 in Wednesday's Asian session. Amid geopolitical uncertainty, the US Dollar attracts some dip-buyers after a fresh leg up in US bond yields, keeping the pair under pressure despite hawkish RBA expectations. All eyes now remain on the FOMC Minutes.

USD/JPY holds firm near 158.50 ahead of Fed Minutes

USD/JPY hangs close to a one-and-a-half-week high near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond the 200-day SMA hurdle before positioning for further gains ahead of the FOMC Minutes. Meanwhile, a fresh leg up in US bond yields revives US Dollar demand amid geopolitical uncertainties, boosting the pair amid dovish BoJ commentary.

Gold struggles below $4,150 as USD bulls look to FOMC Minutes for rate hike cues

Gold retains its intraday bearish bias through the early European session, eyeing a two-month low around the $4,100 neighborhood touched the previous day. The US Dollar catches fresh bids after Tuesday's corrective slide and is seen as a key factor weighing on the commodity as traders look to the FOMC meeting minutes for a fresh impetus.

Dogecoin extended correction and weakening momentum raise downside risks

Dogecoin extends its losses, trading around $0.090 down more than 5% so far this week. Bearish pressure is strengthening, with short positions reaching a one-month high and traders in overheated conditions. Meanwhile, weakening momentum indicators are also hinting at further losses in DOGE. Derivatives data shows cautious signals among traders.

USD/INR remains broadly muted after RBI’s 25 bps hike in Repo Rates to 5.5%

The Indian Rupee remains broadly muted at around 96.37 against the US Dollar after the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy decision. In the policy meeting, the RBI decide to hike its Repo Rate by 25 basis points to 5.5%, the first hike since February 2023.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.