|

US Core PCE Preview: Elevated data may lift the USD – Scotiabank

The USD is rounding out the week on a firm note. PCE deflator data today may support a rise, economists at Scotiabank report. 

Broader gains in the DXY may extend another 1-2% in the next few weeks

“Hawkish Fed perspectives and positive seasonal patterns are boosting the USD generally and further gains, which serve to correct some of the late 2022/early 2023 decline in the DXY, look likely to develop in the next few weeks.”

“Minor USD dips remain a buy, with technical signals suggesting a well-established bull trend is developing on the short-term charts at least. Broader gains in the DXY may extend another 1-2% in the next few weeks.”

“Only a modest deceleration in core PCE is expected in Jan (4.3% YoY, from 4.4%); elevated data may lift the USD.”

See – US Core PCE Preview: Forecasts from eight major banks, meaningful acceleration

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stall after US CPI-driven mild rally

The cryptocurrency market pauses on Wednesday, following a brief, macro-driven rally the previous day. Bitcoin (BTC) is consolidating above $64,500, signaling waning bullish momentum and increased profit-taking as sellers emerge.

The conflict in the Middle East: A massive blow to growth in the Gulf
For the first time since 2009 (excluding COVID), the GDP of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is expected to contract this year (-0.8%), whereas pre-conflict forecasts had predicted growth of 4.7%.
-0.4%: Why the biggest CPI drop since 2020 couldn't buy back a single cut

The June CPI fell 0.4% on the month, the largest one-month decline since April 2020, dragging the annual rate to 3.5% from May's 4.2% and snapping a three-month acceleration streak. Core prices went nowhere, flat on the month and down to 2.6% YoY, both under consensus.