|

United States Dollar Index hovers around 101.00 ahead of US PMI data

  • US Dollar Index remains stronger near a 13-month high of 101.13.
  • A hawkish Fed policy outlook offsets easing geopolitical risks in the Middle East.
  • US Vice President Vance noted US-Iran negotiations have made "great progress," despite some lingering friction.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, holds gains near a 13-month high of 101.13, reached on June 19, during the early European hours on Tuesday. Traders await S&P Global US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data due later in the day.

The Greenback holds its ground as traders focus on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) likely plan to keep interest rates higher for longer. This hawkish outlook effectively canceled out any downward pressure from easing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran.

Last week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Economic Projections report, which revealed that nine out of 19 policymakers foresee a rate increase in 2026. Momentum grew further after Kevin Warsh, presiding over his first meeting as Fed Chair, caught the market off guard by adopting a significantly more hawkish stance than anticipated.

Market pricing heavily reflects this outlook, with the CME FedWatch tool indicating an 85% probability of at least a 25-basis-point rate hike before the year ends. To gauge the next steps for US monetary policy, investors are closely watching Thursday’s release of the May Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred inflation metric.

However, the Greenback's upside could be capped by a broader easing of risk aversion. This shift is tied to ongoing diplomatic progress between the US and Iran, which has helped cool global inflation fears. On Tuesday, CNBC reported that US Vice President JD Vance noted negotiations have made "great progress," despite some lingering friction. The optimism was mirrored by Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, who similarly confirmed that the Swiss dialogue has yielded "major progress."

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.00%0.13%-0.08%0.13%0.66%0.44%0.00%
EUR-0.01%0.10%-0.11%0.10%0.61%0.41%-0.01%
GBP-0.13%-0.10%-0.17%0.02%0.53%0.31%-0.10%
JPY0.08%0.11%0.17%0.19%0.72%0.50%0.06%
CAD-0.13%-0.10%-0.02%-0.19%0.54%0.32%-0.12%
AUD-0.66%-0.61%-0.53%-0.72%-0.54%-0.19%-0.63%
NZD-0.44%-0.41%-0.31%-0.50%-0.32%0.19%-0.45%
CHF-0.01%0.01%0.10%-0.06%0.12%0.63%0.45%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates near 0.7000 as USD stays weak

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during Thursday’s Asian session, consolidating the previous day’s recovery gains from a near three-week low as the Democratic sweep in the US midterm elections and Iran diplomacy hopes continue to weigh on the US Dollar. Bulls, however, seem hesitant as focus shifts to Friday’s crucial US NFP report.

USD/JPY drifts lower to 158.25 on hawkish BoJ Minutes, weak USD

USD/JPY trades with a negative bias for the second straight day on Thursday as hawkish BoJ Minutes, showing members agreed to keep raising rates, and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, US midterm election results and hopes for Iran diplomacy keep the US Dollar depressed as focus shifts to Friday’s US NFP report.

Gold trims gains, returns to $4,100

Gold now surrenders part of its initial bull run and appears on its way to challenge the key $4,100 region per troy ounce on Thursday. The precious metal extends it recovery on the back of the tepid advance in the Greenback and mixed US Treasury yields following the US midterm elections.

TRUMP token hits record low amid mounting selling pressure

Ripple and Stellar extend their recovery as bearish pressure begins to ease for both altcoins. XRP trades above $1.30 after breaking above the upper trendline of a falling channel pattern, while XLM holds above $0.168 and approaches resistance at $0.173. Meanwhile, improving derivatives metrics and strengthening momentum indicators hint at a potential for further recovery.

NFP stress test: Six payrolls releases, measured in daily-loss limits

Friday's US employment report is usually previewed in terms of the headline number and the reaction in the Dollar. For a growing group of traders, those running funded or evaluation accounts with a fixed daily loss limit, there is a more practical question: how much of that limit can the first hour consume, regardless of direction?

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.