|

United States Dollar Index hovers around 101.00 ahead of US PMI data

  • US Dollar Index remains stronger near a 13-month high of 101.13.
  • A hawkish Fed policy outlook offsets easing geopolitical risks in the Middle East.
  • US Vice President Vance noted US-Iran negotiations have made "great progress," despite some lingering friction.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, holds gains near a 13-month high of 101.13, reached on June 19, during the early European hours on Tuesday. Traders await S&P Global US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data due later in the day.

The Greenback holds its ground as traders focus on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) likely plan to keep interest rates higher for longer. This hawkish outlook effectively canceled out any downward pressure from easing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran.

Last week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Economic Projections report, which revealed that nine out of 19 policymakers foresee a rate increase in 2026. Momentum grew further after Kevin Warsh, presiding over his first meeting as Fed Chair, caught the market off guard by adopting a significantly more hawkish stance than anticipated.

Market pricing heavily reflects this outlook, with the CME FedWatch tool indicating an 85% probability of at least a 25-basis-point rate hike before the year ends. To gauge the next steps for US monetary policy, investors are closely watching Thursday’s release of the May Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred inflation metric.

However, the Greenback's upside could be capped by a broader easing of risk aversion. This shift is tied to ongoing diplomatic progress between the US and Iran, which has helped cool global inflation fears. On Tuesday, CNBC reported that US Vice President JD Vance noted negotiations have made "great progress," despite some lingering friction. The optimism was mirrored by Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, who similarly confirmed that the Swiss dialogue has yielded "major progress."

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.00%0.13%-0.08%0.13%0.66%0.44%0.00%
EUR-0.01%0.10%-0.11%0.10%0.61%0.41%-0.01%
GBP-0.13%-0.10%-0.17%0.02%0.53%0.31%-0.10%
JPY0.08%0.11%0.17%0.19%0.72%0.50%0.06%
CAD-0.13%-0.10%-0.02%-0.19%0.54%0.32%-0.12%
AUD-0.66%-0.61%-0.53%-0.72%-0.54%-0.19%-0.63%
NZD-0.44%-0.41%-0.31%-0.50%-0.32%0.19%-0.45%
CHF-0.01%0.01%0.10%-0.06%0.12%0.63%0.45%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays defensive near 1.3450, US NFP eyed

GBP/USD remains defensive around 1.3450 in the European session on Friday, undermined by a broadly resilient US Dollar. The Middle East uncertainty is back in play, keeping the haven demand for the Greenback intact ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data release.

EUR/USD holds above 1.1500 ahead of US jobs data

EUR/USD keeps its range above 1.1500 in European trading on Friday, as the US Dollar consolidates the recent recovery, following renewed tensions in the Middle East and on the Strait of Hormuz reopening. Traders now eagerly await the July US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for a clear directional impetus.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

Shiba Inu Price Forecast: SHIB risks over 10% drawdown amid declining burn rate

Shiba Inu edges lower, facing downside pressure amid broader risk-off sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, including a delay in the CLARITY Act vote. The declining burn rate of SHIB tokens and retail support warn of deeper losses in the meme coin.

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to rise by 80K in July

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the Nonfarm Payrolls data for July on Friday at 12:30 GMT. Investors expect NFP to rise by 80K following June’s disappointing print of 57K. The Unemployment Rate is seen holding steady at 4.2%, while the annual wage inflation, as measured by the change in the Average Hourly Earnings, is projected to remain unchanged at 3.5%.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.