The case for some appreciation in the AUD this year remains strong – Scotiabank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

AUD/USD ended the week just above 0.6500. Economists at Scotiabank analyze the pair’s outlook.

AUD outlook remains constructive

The Reserve Bank of Australia is reluctant to concede that the tightening cycle is over, suggesting that the policy rate will stay elevated for some time to come. Stimulus efforts in China may – eventually – lead to some sustained economic improvement in a key export market for Australia.

The AUD looks relatively ‘cheap’ among its major currency peers in broad terms and trades below our own short-term, fair value estimate currently.

Market sentiment remains bearish but aggressive short AUD positioning has eased somewhat from the peaks seen late last year.

AUD/USD – Q1-24 0.6600 Q2-24 0.6600 Q3-24 0.6800 Q4-24 0.6800

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD hovers above 1.1800 as USD stabilizes

EUR/USD treads water above 1.1800 in the European session on Thursday. The US Dollar stabilizes, following the recent decline fuelled by concerns about the economic fallout from US President Trump's erratic trade policies, capping the pair's upside. All eyes now remain on Lagarde's speech and US-Iran nuclear talks.

GBP/USD extends recovery to near 20-day EMA as US Dollar weakens

The Pound Sterling holds onto weekly gains around 1.3565 against the US Dollar during the Asian trading session on Thursday. The GBP/USD pair trades firmly as the US Dollar remains under pressure due to uncertainty surrounding the United States trade policy outlook.

Gold clings to gains amid sustained safe-haven flows ahead of US-Iran talks

Gold sticks to its modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session on Thursday, with bulls still awaiting a sustained move and acceptance above the $5,200 mark before placing fresh bets.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Nvidia delivers another monster earnings report, and forecasts big things to come

It was another monster earnings report from Nvidia for fiscal Q4. Revenues were $68.1bn, smashing estimates of $65bn. Gross profit margin was a healthy 75%, up from 73.5% in the prior quarter, and the outlook for this quarter was monstrous.

Solana strikes key resistance with double-digit gains

Solana trades at $88 at press time on Thursday, after an 11% upswing the previous day within a broader consolidation range of roughly three weeks. Institutional demand for Solana heightens as US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds record $30 million of inflow on Wednesday.