Swiss Franc: Low inflation keeps range intact versus US Dollar – BBH

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that Swiss inflation remains comfortably within the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) price stability definition, with May Consumer Price Index (CPI) expected to stay subdued. This allows the SNB to keep rates at 0.00% for an extended period, even as markets price some tightening. Haddad expects USD/CHF to remain confined to a tight 0.7760–0.7910 range in the near term.

SNB patience anchors Franc range

"Switzerland May CPI is due Thursday. Headline CPI is expected at 0.7% y/y vs. 0.6% in April while core CPI is expected at 0.3% y/y for a second straight month."

"The Swiss National Bank (SNB) forecasts headline CPI to average 0.5% y/y in Q2."

"Overall, inflation remains well within the range of price stability of less than 2% per annum. As such, the SNB can afford to keep rates at 0.00% for some time."

"The swaps curve price-in 76% odds of a 25bps rate hike to 0.25% in the next twelve months. USD/CHF will likely remain trapped within a tight 0.7760-0.7910 range in the near-term."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD drops to one-week low, below 0.6950 on weak Aussie jobs data

AUD/USD attracts some sellers in reaction to disappointing Australian jobs data, extending the previous day's retracement slide from the monthly high and hitting a fresh weekly low during Thursday’s Asian session. Meanwhile, declining US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the April 2025 high, touched after Wednesday's hot US CPI, helping limit losses for the currency pair.

USD/JPY slides back below 158.00 as USD reverses post-CPI gains

USD/JPY extends the previous day's pullback from a three-week high, attracting follow-through selling and sliding below 158.00 during Thursday's Asian session. Traders remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, meanwhile, reverses Wednesday's hot CPI-led gains to April 2025 highs as US bond yields retreat, further pressuring the currency pair.

Gold recovers to $4,150 as retreating US bond yields weigh on USD

Gold attracts strong buying during the Asian session on Thursday, snapping a three-day losing streak to a one-week low. Retreating US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the April 2025 high, touched in reaction to Wednesday’s hot US CPI report, and boost the non-yielding bullion. That said, energy-driven inflation risks keep bets of a Fed rate hike firmly on the table, which should cap the precious metal.

Bitcoin falls on hot CPI: Why $80,000 support matters

Bitcoin's (BTC) most critical level to watch is near $80,000 as September's hot inflation reading pressures the crypto market, according to Glassnode. The top crypto declined within minutes of the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which showed a 3.7% annual increase in headline inflation, above forecasts of 3.6%. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, came in at 2.6%.

Stock futures just went red on the CPI. Here's what the bond market is pricing that equities haven't caught up to

Since late June, the bond market has been pricing in a Federal Reserve that keeps raising rates into 2027, and most US stocks have already been marked down for it. The S&P 500 hasn't, because a handful of AI-linked giants make up much of the index and their prices haven't followed the rest.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?

Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?